Counterexamples to a best-of-n win-rate bound at every budget

For every n≥2 and δ>0, there is a finite positive reference distribution whose largest atom is at most δ and whose best-of-n policy violates the proposed divergence–win-rate curve. A four-response best-of-two example gives exact probabilities and a strict logarithmic certificate. The proof uses finite interval bounds and gives a quantitative positive gap. It does not determine the sharp replacement curve.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23679328
Primary Topic
Probability and Statistical Research
Type
preprint
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preprint

Counterexamples to a best-of-n win-rate bound at every budget

Dev D. Goyal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Probability and Statistical Research
preprint

Counterexamples to a best-of-n win-rate bound at every budget

Dev D. Goyal
preprint en

Abstract

For every n≥2 and δ>0, there is a finite positive reference distribution whose largest atom is at most δ and whose best-of-n policy violates the proposed divergence–win-rate curve. A four-response best-of-two example gives exact probabilities and a strict logarithmic certificate. The proof uses finite interval bounds and gives a quantitative positive gap. It does not determine the sharp replacement curve.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Probability and Statistical Research
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Counterexamples to a best-of-n win-rate bound at every budget — Dev D. Goyal · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS