Energy Access Versus Environmental Sustainability: A Dynamic Investigation of Population Growth and Carbon Emissions in a Developing Country

ABSTRACT Curtailing environmental hazards from CO 2 emissions remains challenging for developing economies, especially for countries with high population growth and fossil‐energy dependence. Therefore, to drive decarbonisation policy for climate action (SDG 13), our study explores the nexus among population growth, electricity access and CO 2 emissions in Nigeria between 1990 and 2023. We use Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and the Simulated ARDL for data analysis. The ARDL and simulated ARDL estimates complement each other. Hence, we find that electricity access has a negative and insignificant effect on short‐run CO 2 and ecological footprint, but the effect is positive in the long run. However, population positively and significantly impacts short‐ and long‐run CO 2 and ecological footprint. The study concludes advocating for a shift toward renewable energy sources to promote clean electricity production for the rising population for climate action.

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Publication Details

Journal
Sustainable Development
Published
2026-10-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.71842
Primary Topic
Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
Type
article
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article

Energy Access Versus Environmental Sustainability: A Dynamic Investigation of Population Growth and Carbon Emissions in a Developing Country

Chukwunonso Ekesiobi, Stephen Kelechi Dimnwobi, Precious Muhammed Emmanuel, Chibuzor C. Azodo et al.
1 links
Sustainable Development
Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
article

Energy Access Versus Environmental Sustainability: A Dynamic Investigation of Population Growth and Carbon Emissions in a Developing Country

Chukwunonso Ekesiobi, Stephen Kelechi Dimnwobi, Precious Muhammed Emmanuel, Chibuzor C. Azodo, Kingsley Adonike
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Curtailing environmental hazards from CO 2 emissions remains challenging for developing economies, especially for countries with high population growth and fossil‐energy dependence. Therefore, to drive decarbonisation policy for climate action (SDG 13), our study explores the nexus among population growth, electricity access and CO 2 emissions in Nigeria between 1990 and 2023. We use Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and the Simulated ARDL for data analysis. The ARDL and simulated ARDL estimates complement each other. Hence, we find that electricity access has a negative and insignificant effect on short‐run CO 2 and ecological footprint, but the effect is positive in the long run. However, population positively and significantly impacts short‐ and long‐run CO 2 and ecological footprint. The study concludes advocating for a shift toward renewable energy sources to promote clean electricity production for the rising population for climate action.

Sustainable Development
Chukwuemeka Odumegwu Ojukwu University (NG), Covenant University (NG), Nnamdi Azikiwe University (NG), Nile University of Nigeria (NG), Bahçeşehir Cyprus University (CY), Miva Open University (NG), Chukwuemeka Odumegwu Ojukwu University, Igbariam Campus (NG), National Open University of Nigeria (NG)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
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