The evolving role of organisational foresight: Implications for the food service industry

This article examines the evolving role of organisational foresight (OF), by integrating economics of innovation and managerial economics perspectives. The analysis investigates the interplay between foresight practices, coordination of routines and innovation, and how OF can be adopted to address mounting environmental and social challenges in the underexplored context of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) of the food service industry (FSI). Hypotheses were tested using partial least squares structural equation modelling on data collected from 204 managers of Brazilian FSI firms via an online questionnaire, complemented by a subsequent qualitative investigation. The results reveal that OF positively affects coordination of routines and innovation of firms. Innovation also positively affects green corporate social responsibility (GCSR) and sustainable performance (SP) of firms. Coordination of routines plays a mediating role that strengthens the association between OF and innovation. Furthermore, innovation mediates the relationship between OF and GCSR, as well as between OF and SP. In the context of FSI SMEs, foresight appears as a more informal, experiential sense-making capability. Although OF is a systematic process of thinking strategically about the future, OF per se is not enough. Firms should integrate a selection of dynamic capabilities into OF to strengthen their innovation, GCSR, and sustainable performance. The formalisation of additional management capabilities related to the coordination of routines, can make this process more effective. OF can shift from a theoretical exercise towards more socially- and environmentally-oriented actions which should be embedded into the culture of FSI firms.

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Publication Details

Journal
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Published
2026-10-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2026.124921
Primary Topic
Innovation and Knowledge Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

The evolving role of organisational foresight: Implications for the food service industry

Fabrícia Silva da Rosa, Daiane Antonini Bortoluzzi, Rogério João Lunkes, Francesca Spigarelli et al.
1 links
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Innovation and Knowledge Management
article

The evolving role of organisational foresight: Implications for the food service industry

Fabrícia Silva da Rosa, Daiane Antonini Bortoluzzi, Rogério João Lunkes, Francesca Spigarelli, Lorenzo Compagnucci
article en

Abstract

This article examines the evolving role of organisational foresight (OF), by integrating economics of innovation and managerial economics perspectives. The analysis investigates the interplay between foresight practices, coordination of routines and innovation, and how OF can be adopted to address mounting environmental and social challenges in the underexplored context of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) of the food service industry (FSI). Hypotheses were tested using partial least squares structural equation modelling on data collected from 204 managers of Brazilian FSI firms via an online questionnaire, complemented by a subsequent qualitative investigation. The results reveal that OF positively affects coordination of routines and innovation of firms. Innovation also positively affects green corporate social responsibility (GCSR) and sustainable performance (SP) of firms. Coordination of routines plays a mediating role that strengthens the association between OF and innovation. Furthermore, innovation mediates the relationship between OF and GCSR, as well as between OF and SP. In the context of FSI SMEs, foresight appears as a more informal, experiential sense-making capability. Although OF is a systematic process of thinking strategically about the future, OF per se is not enough. Firms should integrate a selection of dynamic capabilities into OF to strengthen their innovation, GCSR, and sustainable performance. The formalisation of additional management capabilities related to the coordination of routines, can make this process more effective. OF can shift from a theoretical exercise towards more socially- and environmentally-oriented actions which should be embedded into the culture of FSI firms.

Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeVol. 235
Universidade Federal de Mato Grosso (BR), Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina (BR), University of Macerata (IT)
Università di Macerata, Dipartimenti di Eccellenza, Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior, Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico, European Regional Development Fund, Agencia Estatal de Investigación
Decent work and economic growth, Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Innovation and Knowledge Management
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