Distilling neural networks into equations to predict planetary instability

The problem of predicting when a multi-planet system will become dynamically unstable has defied analytical progress over the past three hundred years. Recent machine learning advances achieve high predictive performance of instability dynamics, but as black-box systems cannot be interpreted to connect to existing scientific understanding. Here we show analytic equations that predict when a multi-planet system will undergo instability. We discover these equations by first training a neural network on a dataset of N-body simulations, and then distilling its latent knowledge into closed-form algebraic expressions. Our two-stage pipeline first learns an interpretable variable basis, then searches for equations using symbolic regression. The resulting equations outperform existing analytic estimates of instability and apply across wide ranges of mass ratios, spacing, and orbital eccentricities. They capture structure in the prediction landscape with a small number of variables amenable to dynamical interpretation. These results demonstrate how symbolic learning can be combined with neural networks to extract scientific insight from complex dynamical systems.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
arXiv (Cornell University)
Published
2026-10-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2610.35617
Primary Topic
Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies
Type
preprint
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preprint

Distilling neural networks into equations to predict planetary instability

Omar Costilla-Reyes, Kevin Ellis, Miles Cranmer, Edward Gu et al.
arXiv (Cornell University)
Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies
preprint

Distilling neural networks into equations to predict planetary instability

Omar Costilla-Reyes, Kevin Ellis, Miles Cranmer, Edward Gu, Simon Alford, Dan Tamayo
preprint en

Abstract

The problem of predicting when a multi-planet system will become dynamically unstable has defied analytical progress over the past three hundred years. Recent machine learning advances achieve high predictive performance of instability dynamics, but as black-box systems cannot be interpreted to connect to existing scientific understanding. Here we show analytic equations that predict when a multi-planet system will undergo instability. We discover these equations by first training a neural network on a dataset of N-body simulations, and then distilling its latent knowledge into closed-form algebraic expressions. Our two-stage pipeline first learns an interpretable variable basis, then searches for equations using symbolic regression. The resulting equations outperform existing analytic estimates of instability and apply across wide ranges of mass ratios, spacing, and orbital eccentricities. They capture structure in the prediction landscape with a small number of variables amenable to dynamical interpretation. These results demonstrate how symbolic learning can be combined with neural networks to extract scientific insight from complex dynamical systems.

arXiv (Cornell University)
Stellar, planetary, and galactic studies
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Distilling neural networks into equations to predict planetary instability — Omar Costilla-Reyes, Kevin Ellis, et al. · arXiv (Cornell University) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS