Intervene, Calibrate, Discover: Learning Causal Structure from Pixels

Learning high-level causal variables from low-level observations is a central problem for artificial intelligence. With known node semantics but an unknown graph, visual readout errors can misalign model settings with environment intervention values. We address this mismatch by pairing image readouts with verified values attained through fixed round-robin interventions. With encoder and decoder frozen, a dimension-wise invertible calibration map puts visual responses and target settings in shared numerical units. After freezing this map, the agent selects interventions to resolve graph directions and fits local mechanisms to predict consequences; inverse calibration returns counterfactual states to the decoder's original coordinates. Across Domino, Pick-and-Place, Balance, Gears, CAUSAL3D, and CausalWorld, we evaluate graph discovery, intervention consequences, and counterfactual images. Controlled domino experiments show that interventions resolve orientation ambiguity left by equal additional observations. In a matched-data domino control, calibration reduces the mean error of predicted changes in other variables within the same factual context, relative to an uncalibrated model.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
arXiv (Cornell University)
Published
2026-10-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2610.34711
Primary Topic
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
Type
preprint
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preprint

Intervene, Calibrate, Discover: Learning Causal Structure from Pixels

Haijier Chen, Xiaodi Huang, Xianxin Lai, Jiayu Chen et al.
arXiv (Cornell University)
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
preprint

Intervene, Calibrate, Discover: Learning Causal Structure from Pixels

Haijier Chen, Xiaodi Huang, Xianxin Lai, Jiayu Chen, Zhang Zhang, Xiao-Ping Zhang, Ziyi Ding
preprint en

Abstract

Learning high-level causal variables from low-level observations is a central problem for artificial intelligence. With known node semantics but an unknown graph, visual readout errors can misalign model settings with environment intervention values. We address this mismatch by pairing image readouts with verified values attained through fixed round-robin interventions. With encoder and decoder frozen, a dimension-wise invertible calibration map puts visual responses and target settings in shared numerical units. After freezing this map, the agent selects interventions to resolve graph directions and fits local mechanisms to predict consequences; inverse calibration returns counterfactual states to the decoder's original coordinates. Across Domino, Pick-and-Place, Balance, Gears, CAUSAL3D, and CausalWorld, we evaluate graph discovery, intervention consequences, and counterfactual images. Controlled domino experiments show that interventions resolve orientation ambiguity left by equal additional observations. In a matched-data domino control, calibration reduces the mean error of predicted changes in other variables within the same factual context, relative to an uncalibrated model.

arXiv (Cornell University)
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
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