WAYS TO IMPROVE SCENARIO-BASED STRESS TESTING PRACTICES FOR CREDIT AND LIQUIDITY RISKS IN COMMERCIAL BANKS OF UZBEKISTAN

This thesis explores ways to improve scenario-based stress testing practices for credit and liquidity risks in commercial banks of Uzbekistan. Based on an analysis of regulatory documents, the Central Bank’s 2025 Financial Stability Review, and scholarly sources, it is shown that conducting credit and liquidity stress tests in isolation fails to fully capture the second-round impact of rising non-performing loans on cash inflows. A conditional sequence for joint stress testing, the integrated "macroeconomic scenario – credit default – liquidity shortfall" principle, and five effectiveness assessment indicators are substantiated.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23683288
Primary Topic
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
Type
article
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article

WAYS TO IMPROVE SCENARIO-BASED STRESS TESTING PRACTICES FOR CREDIT AND LIQUIDITY RISKS IN COMMERCIAL BANKS OF UZBEKISTAN

Muqumov Orifjon
3 links
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
article

WAYS TO IMPROVE SCENARIO-BASED STRESS TESTING PRACTICES FOR CREDIT AND LIQUIDITY RISKS IN COMMERCIAL BANKS OF UZBEKISTAN

Muqumov Orifjon
article en

Abstract

This thesis explores ways to improve scenario-based stress testing practices for credit and liquidity risks in commercial banks of Uzbekistan. Based on an analysis of regulatory documents, the Central Bank’s 2025 Financial Stability Review, and scholarly sources, it is shown that conducting credit and liquidity stress tests in isolation fails to fully capture the second-round impact of rising non-performing loans on cash inflows. A conditional sequence for joint stress testing, the integrated "macroeconomic scenario – credit default – liquidity shortfall" principle, and five effectiveness assessment indicators are substantiated.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
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