The biases caused by interpolated table models and their impact on X-ray spectroscopy

Models for X-ray spectroscopy involving complex relativistic or plasma physics are commonly pre-computed on a grid, In this paper, we aim to quantify the potential biases and distortions introduced by the computational error and propagated into parameter inference by interpolating linearly these complex, non-linear models. We analyse the performance of Bayesian sampling algorithms on mock inference problems. Then, we model real observations of an accreting black hole X-ray binary in both the soft and hard states. We find that linear interpolation can a) greatly bias the posterior distribution of model parameters and b) distort the likelihood space to such a degree that posterior distributions become artificially multimodal. This multi-modality causes a noticeable loss in computational efficiency in both sampling and fitting techniques. As a result, exploring a given parameter space until convergence requires an extremely large computational cost. These findings call for improving the computational techniques used when fitting modern X-ray data, for example through better sampling algorithms and/or more sophisticated interpolation schemes

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
arXiv (Cornell University)
Published
2026-10-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2610.35174
Primary Topic
Astrophysical Phenomena and Observations
Type
preprint
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preprint

The biases caused by interpolated table models and their impact on X-ray spectroscopy

Daniela Huppenkothen, Phil Uttley, Guglielmo Mastroserio, G. Marcel et al.
arXiv (Cornell University)
Astrophysical Phenomena and Observations
preprint

The biases caused by interpolated table models and their impact on X-ray spectroscopy

Daniela Huppenkothen, Phil Uttley, Guglielmo Mastroserio, G. Marcel, Matteo Lucchini, Fergus Baker, Benjamin Ricketts
preprint en

Abstract

Models for X-ray spectroscopy involving complex relativistic or plasma physics are commonly pre-computed on a grid, In this paper, we aim to quantify the potential biases and distortions introduced by the computational error and propagated into parameter inference by interpolating linearly these complex, non-linear models. We analyse the performance of Bayesian sampling algorithms on mock inference problems. Then, we model real observations of an accreting black hole X-ray binary in both the soft and hard states. We find that linear interpolation can a) greatly bias the posterior distribution of model parameters and b) distort the likelihood space to such a degree that posterior distributions become artificially multimodal. This multi-modality causes a noticeable loss in computational efficiency in both sampling and fitting techniques. As a result, exploring a given parameter space until convergence requires an extremely large computational cost. These findings call for improving the computational techniques used when fitting modern X-ray data, for example through better sampling algorithms and/or more sophisticated interpolation schemes

arXiv (Cornell University)
Astrophysical Phenomena and Observations
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The biases caused by interpolated table models and their impact on X-ray spectroscopy — Daniela Huppenkothen, Phil Uttley, et al. · arXiv (Cornell University) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS