Data-Driven Stochastic Control of Delayed Air-Conditioning Systems
We consider a stochastic optimal control problem arising in the operation of industrial air-conditioning systems with delayed activation effects. The delayed transition between inactive and operational regimes induces a non-Markovian structure in the controlled dynamics. We derive a regression-based discrete dynamic programming algorithm on nested state-control grids. We give a probabilistic proof of convergence of the idealized time-discrete dynamic programming problem to the continuous-time value function. Numerical experiments based on calibrated multidimensional forecast-tracking Ornstein--Uhlenbeck models illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.
Authors
- Raul F. Tempone (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1967-4446)
- Christian Bayer (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9116-0039)
- Leon Wilkosz
Publication Details
- Journal
- arXiv (Cornell University)
- Published
- 2026-10-26
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2610.35811
- Primary Topic
- Adaptive Dynamic Programming Control
- Type
- preprint