Data-Driven Stochastic Control of Delayed Air-Conditioning Systems

We consider a stochastic optimal control problem arising in the operation of industrial air-conditioning systems with delayed activation effects. The delayed transition between inactive and operational regimes induces a non-Markovian structure in the controlled dynamics. We derive a regression-based discrete dynamic programming algorithm on nested state-control grids. We give a probabilistic proof of convergence of the idealized time-discrete dynamic programming problem to the continuous-time value function. Numerical experiments based on calibrated multidimensional forecast-tracking Ornstein--Uhlenbeck models illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
arXiv (Cornell University)
Published
2026-10-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2610.35811
Primary Topic
Adaptive Dynamic Programming Control
Type
preprint
Controls
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preprint

Data-Driven Stochastic Control of Delayed Air-Conditioning Systems

Raul F. Tempone, Christian Bayer, Leon Wilkosz
arXiv (Cornell University)
Adaptive Dynamic Programming Control
preprint

Data-Driven Stochastic Control of Delayed Air-Conditioning Systems

Raul F. Tempone, Christian Bayer, Leon Wilkosz
preprint en

Abstract

We consider a stochastic optimal control problem arising in the operation of industrial air-conditioning systems with delayed activation effects. The delayed transition between inactive and operational regimes induces a non-Markovian structure in the controlled dynamics. We derive a regression-based discrete dynamic programming algorithm on nested state-control grids. We give a probabilistic proof of convergence of the idealized time-discrete dynamic programming problem to the continuous-time value function. Numerical experiments based on calibrated multidimensional forecast-tracking Ornstein--Uhlenbeck models illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology.

arXiv (Cornell University)
Adaptive Dynamic Programming Control
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