The Human Element in Market Math: Why Financial Models Fail Without Behavioral Economics

Modern financial engineering relies heavily on mathematical frameworks—such as the Binomial Tree model and the Black-Scholes formula—to evaluate derivative securities and manage risk. However, these quantitative models assume rational actors operating under predictable conditions. This paper explores the disconnect between theoretical risk management and real-world market behavior by analyzing how human cognitive biases (such as loss aversion, overconfidence, and herding behavior) disrupt pricing efficiency. By integrating key principles of financial engineering with behavioral economics, this study demonstrates why standard models misprice extreme events and offers a conceptual framework for hybrid risk evaluation.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23684435
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

The Human Element in Market Math: Why Financial Models Fail Without Behavioral Economics

Namit Mehta
3 links
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
article

The Human Element in Market Math: Why Financial Models Fail Without Behavioral Economics

Namit Mehta
article en

Abstract

Modern financial engineering relies heavily on mathematical frameworks—such as the Binomial Tree model and the Black-Scholes formula—to evaluate derivative securities and manage risk. However, these quantitative models assume rational actors operating under predictable conditions. This paper explores the disconnect between theoretical risk management and real-world market behavior by analyzing how human cognitive biases (such as loss aversion, overconfidence, and herding behavior) disrupt pricing efficiency. By integrating key principles of financial engineering with behavioral economics, this study demonstrates why standard models misprice extreme events and offers a conceptual framework for hybrid risk evaluation.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
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The Human Element in Market Math: Why Financial Models Fail Without Behavioral Economics — Namit Mehta · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS