Cerebrospinal fluid alpha-synuclein seed amplification assay positivity identifies a prognostically distinct subgroup in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

Background: α-synuclein (Lewy body-type) co-pathology has been identified at autopsy in a subset of patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). However, its prevalence and prognostic relevance in vivo remain poorly characterized. Methods: We analyzed baseline cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) α-synuclein seed amplification assay (αSyn SAA) status in 443 patients with ALS from two cohorts (Nagoya, Japan, n = 248; Bologna, Italy, n = 195). Samples were classified as strong-positive, weak-positive, or negative based on RT-QuIC reactivity across replicate wells, using the assay's established a priori criteria at initial and repeat testing; classifications were corroborated by quantitative kinetic parameters. We compared age- and sex-adjusted odds of positivity in ALS with those in cognitively unimpaired (CU; n = 999; stratified by amyloid-β [Aβ] status), Aβ-positive mild cognitive impairment ( n = 224), and Alzheimer's disease dementia ( n = 319) groups from the Swedish BioFINDER cohort. In ALS, we examined tracheostomy-free survival and longitudinal functional decline using cohort-stratified Cox and linear mixed-effects models, respectively. We also assessed interactions between αSyn SAA status and baseline CSF neurofilament light chain (NfL). Prognostic analyses were performed in sporadic ALS and repeated after including familial or genetic cases. Results: Strong αSyn SAA positivity was detected in 24/443 patients with ALS (5.4%); overall positivity, including weak-positive samples, was 37/443 (8.4%). Patients with ALS did not have significantly higher odds of SAA positivity than Aβ-negative CU participants (age- and sex-adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.33, 95% CI [0.82, 2.14]) and had significantly lower odds than patients with Alzheimer's disease dementia (OR 0.44, [0.27, 0.70]). Among patients with sporadic ALS, strong αSyn SAA positivity was associated with shorter tracheostomy-free survival after adjustment for established predictors including NfL (adjusted HR 2.08 [1.25, 3.45]), whereas weak positivity showed no clear survival association. In linear mixed-effects models, strong αSyn SAA positivity modified the association between NfL and ALSFRS-R decline (NfL × αSyn SAA × time interaction β −0.70 points/month [−1.26, −0.14] per SD NfL). These findings persisted in analyses including familial or genetic ALS cases and in those restricted to Aβ-negative patients. Neuropathological findings ( n = 5) were concordant with the CSF αSyn SAA classification. Conclusions: A strong α-synuclein seeding profile was uncommon in ALS but identified a subgroup with shorter survival and a stronger association between NfL and functional decline. These findings provide ante-mortem evidence that α-synuclein co-pathology may contribute to prognostic heterogeneity in ALS.

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Journal
medRxiv
Published
2026-10-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.10.23.26366349
Primary Topic
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Research
Type
preprint
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preprint

Cerebrospinal fluid alpha-synuclein seed amplification assay positivity identifies a prognostically distinct subgroup in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

Yu Mori, Keita Hiraga, Ryoichi Nakamura, Yuichi Riku et al.
medRxiv
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Research
preprint

Cerebrospinal fluid alpha-synuclein seed amplification assay positivity identifies a prognostically distinct subgroup in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis

Yu Mori, Keita Hiraga, Ryoichi Nakamura, Yuichi Riku, Shinichiro Yamada, Tomoo Ogi, Piero Parchi, Sebastian Palmqvist, Erik Stomrud, Agustina Ranieri, Masahisa Katsuno, Sinh Tran, T. Kawase, Niklas Mattsson, Gen Sobue, Naoki Atsuta, Oskar Hansson, Koyo Tsujikawa, Yosuke Nishio, Veria Vacchiano, Yasushi Iwasaki, Rocco Liguori, Shorena Janelidze, Andrea Mastrangelo, Daisuke Ito, Munetaka Yamamoto, Kazuki Obara, Serena Caldera
preprint en

Abstract

Background: α-synuclein (Lewy body-type) co-pathology has been identified at autopsy in a subset of patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). However, its prevalence and prognostic relevance in vivo remain poorly characterized. Methods: We analyzed baseline cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) α-synuclein seed amplification assay (αSyn SAA) status in 443 patients with ALS from two cohorts (Nagoya, Japan, n = 248; Bologna, Italy, n = 195). Samples were classified as strong-positive, weak-positive, or negative based on RT-QuIC reactivity across replicate wells, using the assay's established a priori criteria at initial and repeat testing; classifications were corroborated by quantitative kinetic parameters. We compared age- and sex-adjusted odds of positivity in ALS with those in cognitively unimpaired (CU; n = 999; stratified by amyloid-β [Aβ] status), Aβ-positive mild cognitive impairment ( n = 224), and Alzheimer's disease dementia ( n = 319) groups from the Swedish BioFINDER cohort. In ALS, we examined tracheostomy-free survival and longitudinal functional decline using cohort-stratified Cox and linear mixed-effects models, respectively. We also assessed interactions between αSyn SAA status and baseline CSF neurofilament light chain (NfL). Prognostic analyses were performed in sporadic ALS and repeated after including familial or genetic cases. Results: Strong αSyn SAA positivity was detected in 24/443 patients with ALS (5.4%); overall positivity, including weak-positive samples, was 37/443 (8.4%). Patients with ALS did not have significantly higher odds of SAA positivity than Aβ-negative CU participants (age- and sex-adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.33, 95% CI [0.82, 2.14]) and had significantly lower odds than patients with Alzheimer's disease dementia (OR 0.44, [0.27, 0.70]). Among patients with sporadic ALS, strong αSyn SAA positivity was associated with shorter tracheostomy-free survival after adjustment for established predictors including NfL (adjusted HR 2.08 [1.25, 3.45]), whereas weak positivity showed no clear survival association. In linear mixed-effects models, strong αSyn SAA positivity modified the association between NfL and ALSFRS-R decline (NfL × αSyn SAA × time interaction β −0.70 points/month [−1.26, −0.14] per SD NfL). These findings persisted in analyses including familial or genetic ALS cases and in those restricted to Aβ-negative patients. Neuropathological findings ( n = 5) were concordant with the CSF αSyn SAA classification. Conclusions: A strong α-synuclein seeding profile was uncommon in ALS but identified a subgroup with shorter survival and a stronger association between NfL and functional decline. These findings provide ante-mortem evidence that α-synuclein co-pathology may contribute to prognostic heterogeneity in ALS.

medRxiv
Aichi Medical University (JP), Lund University (SE), Istituto delle Scienze Neurologiche di Bologna (IT), Research Institute of Environmental Medicine, Nagoya University (JP), Nagoya University (JP), University of Bologna (IT)
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Research
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