Development and Validation of an Automated Image-Based Method for Prognostic Stratification in Lung Adenocarcinoma using Immunohistochemical Markers

We present an automated image-based framework for quantifying biomarker expression in immunohistochemical (IHC) images and introduce the Marker Expression Level (MEL) score as an objective alternative to visual H-scoring. MEL addresses key limitations of existing automated methods by integrating tissue-region segmentation with tumour-area-weighted marker quantification, normalization to mitigate inter-sample and inter-batch staining variability, and robust quantification of nuclear, cytoplasmic, and membrane-associated biomarkers. The complete pipeline was developed as an open-source Fiji/ImageJ tool and is publicly available. We evaluated MEL using IHC images from 128 lung adenocarcinoma patients stained for BRCA1, GLUT1, and QKI, three markers forming a prognostic signature previously described by our group. Tissue regions were segmented using a machine learning-based Fiji plugin, and MEL scores were calculated within tumour regions. A normalization strategy accounted for inter-TMA staining variability. Agreement with visual H-scores was assessed using Spearman correlation. Prognostic performance was evaluated using Cox regression to derive a Combined Prognostic Index (CPI) incorporating MEL scores and tumour stage. Segmentation achieved high accuracy across tissue regions (Dice coefficients 0.69-0.99), with lower performance in highly immune-infiltrated stromal areas. MEL scores significantly correlated with visual H-scores for all markers (ρ = 0.61-0.69, p < 0.001). Normalization improved agreement for GLUT1 (ρ = 0.39 to 0.62). The derived CPI stratified patients into distinct risk groups with significant differences in disease-free and overall survival (p < 0.05), comparable to visual scoring. MEL provides a reproducible and scalable alternative to expert visual H-scoring and standard semi-automated approaches such as QuPath. Its integration with prognostic modelling reproduced a validated survival signature with performance comparable to expert scoring, supporting clinical and translational applicability. MEL is not a marginal refinement of existing digital scoring methods, but rather a clinically oriented and biologically adaptable framework designed to improve the robustness and reproducibility of automated IHC quantification.

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medRxiv
Published
2026-10-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.64898/2026.10.22.26366204
Primary Topic
AI in cancer detection
Type
preprint

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preprint

Development and Validation of an Automated Image-Based Method for Prognostic Stratification in Lung Adenocarcinoma using Immunohistochemical Markers

Luis M. Montuenga, Mikel Ariz, Alfonso Calvo, Ignacio Arganda‐Carreras et al.
medRxiv
AI in cancer detection
preprint

Development and Validation of an Automated Image-Based Method for Prognostic Stratification in Lung Adenocarcinoma using Immunohistochemical Markers

Luis M. Montuenga, Mikel Ariz, Alfonso Calvo, Ignacio Arganda‐Carreras, Carlos Ortíz-de-Solórzano, Daniel Orive, Cristina Sainz, María Sangüesa, Amaia Irisarri, Filippo Carraro
preprint en

Abstract

We present an automated image-based framework for quantifying biomarker expression in immunohistochemical (IHC) images and introduce the Marker Expression Level (MEL) score as an objective alternative to visual H-scoring. MEL addresses key limitations of existing automated methods by integrating tissue-region segmentation with tumour-area-weighted marker quantification, normalization to mitigate inter-sample and inter-batch staining variability, and robust quantification of nuclear, cytoplasmic, and membrane-associated biomarkers. The complete pipeline was developed as an open-source Fiji/ImageJ tool and is publicly available. We evaluated MEL using IHC images from 128 lung adenocarcinoma patients stained for BRCA1, GLUT1, and QKI, three markers forming a prognostic signature previously described by our group. Tissue regions were segmented using a machine learning-based Fiji plugin, and MEL scores were calculated within tumour regions. A normalization strategy accounted for inter-TMA staining variability. Agreement with visual H-scores was assessed using Spearman correlation. Prognostic performance was evaluated using Cox regression to derive a Combined Prognostic Index (CPI) incorporating MEL scores and tumour stage. Segmentation achieved high accuracy across tissue regions (Dice coefficients 0.69-0.99), with lower performance in highly immune-infiltrated stromal areas. MEL scores significantly correlated with visual H-scores for all markers (ρ = 0.61-0.69, p < 0.001). Normalization improved agreement for GLUT1 (ρ = 0.39 to 0.62). The derived CPI stratified patients into distinct risk groups with significant differences in disease-free and overall survival (p < 0.05), comparable to visual scoring. MEL provides a reproducible and scalable alternative to expert visual H-scoring and standard semi-automated approaches such as QuPath. Its integration with prognostic modelling reproduced a validated survival signature with performance comparable to expert scoring, supporting clinical and translational applicability. MEL is not a marginal refinement of existing digital scoring methods, but rather a clinically oriented and biologically adaptable framework designed to improve the robustness and reproducibility of automated IHC quantification.

medRxiv
University of the Basque Country (ES), Universidad Pública de Navarra (UPNA) (ES), Centro de Investigación Médica Aplicada (ES), Universidad de Navarra (ES)
Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades, European Commission, Universidad Pública de Navarra, HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Agencia Estatal de Investigación
AI in cancer detection
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