Design and Techno-Economic Analysis of a Low-Cost Solar Microgrid for Residential Resilience in Khartoum, Sudan Under Conflict Conditions

The armed conflict in Sudan since April 2023 has precipitated a profound energy crisis in Khartoum State. This paper presents a conceptual and techno-economic analysis of a low-cost residential solar microgrid designed to enhance energy resilience for households in Khartoum. Drawing on verified reports that drone strikes destroyed transformers at the Al-Markhiyat substation and damaged the Merowe Dam power station, and that national electricity generation collapsed from 4,400 MW to 1,100 MW, the study quantifies outages reaching 16-18 hours per day. With at least 30% of Sudanese population lacking electricity access and 4,000+ hours of annual sunshine in Sudan, solar presents a viable pathway. Proposed system: 2x 550W PV, 5kWh LiFePO4 battery, 3kW hybrid inverter, costing $850, achieving 83% cost reduction vs typical $5,000 system and payback of 4.2 months vs diesel.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23675219
Primary Topic
Microgrid Control and Optimization
Type
preprint
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preprint

Design and Techno-Economic Analysis of a Low-Cost Solar Microgrid for Residential Resilience in Khartoum, Sudan Under Conflict Conditions

Mugtaba Alfaki
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Microgrid Control and Optimization
preprint

Design and Techno-Economic Analysis of a Low-Cost Solar Microgrid for Residential Resilience in Khartoum, Sudan Under Conflict Conditions

Mugtaba Alfaki
preprint en

Abstract

The armed conflict in Sudan since April 2023 has precipitated a profound energy crisis in Khartoum State. This paper presents a conceptual and techno-economic analysis of a low-cost residential solar microgrid designed to enhance energy resilience for households in Khartoum. Drawing on verified reports that drone strikes destroyed transformers at the Al-Markhiyat substation and damaged the Merowe Dam power station, and that national electricity generation collapsed from 4,400 MW to 1,100 MW, the study quantifies outages reaching 16-18 hours per day. With at least 30% of Sudanese population lacking electricity access and 4,000+ hours of annual sunshine in Sudan, solar presents a viable pathway. Proposed system: 2x 550W PV, 5kWh LiFePO4 battery, 3kW hybrid inverter, costing $850, achieving 83% cost reduction vs typical $5,000 system and payback of 4.2 months vs diesel.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Microgrid Control and Optimization
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