As force exposure becomes perilous, wars become long.

The growing risks of battlefield exposure, driven by persistent surveillance, drones, AI and precision strikes, are shifting the balance towards defense. Examining Ukraine, Iran and Gaza, this article argues that underground military infrastructure increasingly frustrates technologically superior attackers. Victory may therefore depend less on overwhelming firepower than on disrupting the supply networks that sustain subterranean capabilities, challenging conventional assumptions about rapid, decisive warfare.This article was originally published in The Strategist (Australia) and republished in RealClear Defense (USA).

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Figshare
Published
2026-10-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.34789785
Primary Topic
Military Technology and Strategies
Type
preprint
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preprint

As force exposure becomes perilous, wars become long.

John Pappas
Figshare
Military Technology and Strategies
preprint

As force exposure becomes perilous, wars become long.

John Pappas
preprint en

Abstract

The growing risks of battlefield exposure, driven by persistent surveillance, drones, AI and precision strikes, are shifting the balance towards defense. Examining Ukraine, Iran and Gaza, this article argues that underground military infrastructure increasingly frustrates technologically superior attackers. Victory may therefore depend less on overwhelming firepower than on disrupting the supply networks that sustain subterranean capabilities, challenging conventional assumptions about rapid, decisive warfare.This article was originally published in The Strategist (Australia) and republished in RealClear Defense (USA).

Figshare
Military Technology and Strategies
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