Signal extraction is not diagnosis: a rule-based trait pipeline on 4,042 Chinese-Wikipedia biographies reveals a steep recall-precision cliff and the necessity of biography-grade evidence for historiometric neurodivergence research

Companion to the native-language eminence-calibration study (P12, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.23621482). We parsed the full 3.43GB Chinese-Wikipedia wikitext (2026-10-01), extracted complete articles for 9,603 targets, and built a six-domain trait dictionary in two iterations. A broad dictionary fired for 3,105 people but was dominated by encyclopaedic achievement words; subject-attribution filtering, removal of high-frequency achievement words, fictional exclusion, and institutional vetoes reduced the firing set to 564 and those with >=1 hard idiosyncratic signal to 478. Of 180 real-person cards (zero overlap with the 5,631-card database), 144 were adjudicated at full-article level: only 1 (Sandor Petofi) reached a stable Class-3 attribution (0.7%), 39 (27.1%) were defensible multi-domain leads, 104 (72.2%) collapsed to weak/contextual signals, and 1 (F. Macias Nguema) was a genuine psychopathology exclusion. Three structural false-positive classes were identified and removed: kin pathology (Ginsberg's mother), politically imposed psychiatry (Soviet dissident Bukovsky), and political/career rather than scholastic expulsion (party purges). A prodigy with six precocity hits (Chopin) was retained as grey because prodigy is not autism without social/restricted-behaviour evidence. We conclude that a rule-based native-language pipeline is an excellent triage/ranking instrument but a poor diagnostic instrument, and that biography-grade evidence is mandatory for the final attribution. Dictionary versions, filters, adjudication rules, all evidence sentences, and scripts are released for reproducibility.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23623278
Primary Topic
Digital Humanities and Scholarship
Type
preprint
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preprint

Signal extraction is not diagnosis: a rule-based trait pipeline on 4,042 Chinese-Wikipedia biographies reveals a steep recall-precision cliff and the necessity of biography-grade evidence for historiometric neurodivergence research

Xin Xu
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Digital Humanities and Scholarship
preprint

Signal extraction is not diagnosis: a rule-based trait pipeline on 4,042 Chinese-Wikipedia biographies reveals a steep recall-precision cliff and the necessity of biography-grade evidence for historiometric neurodivergence research

Xin Xu
preprint en

Abstract

Companion to the native-language eminence-calibration study (P12, DOI 10.5281/zenodo.23621482). We parsed the full 3.43GB Chinese-Wikipedia wikitext (2026-10-01), extracted complete articles for 9,603 targets, and built a six-domain trait dictionary in two iterations. A broad dictionary fired for 3,105 people but was dominated by encyclopaedic achievement words; subject-attribution filtering, removal of high-frequency achievement words, fictional exclusion, and institutional vetoes reduced the firing set to 564 and those with >=1 hard idiosyncratic signal to 478. Of 180 real-person cards (zero overlap with the 5,631-card database), 144 were adjudicated at full-article level: only 1 (Sandor Petofi) reached a stable Class-3 attribution (0.7%), 39 (27.1%) were defensible multi-domain leads, 104 (72.2%) collapsed to weak/contextual signals, and 1 (F. Macias Nguema) was a genuine psychopathology exclusion. Three structural false-positive classes were identified and removed: kin pathology (Ginsberg's mother), politically imposed psychiatry (Soviet dissident Bukovsky), and political/career rather than scholastic expulsion (party purges). A prodigy with six precocity hits (Chopin) was retained as grey because prodigy is not autism without social/restricted-behaviour evidence. We conclude that a rule-based native-language pipeline is an excellent triage/ranking instrument but a poor diagnostic instrument, and that biography-grade evidence is mandatory for the final attribution. Dictionary versions, filters, adjudication rules, all evidence sentences, and scripts are released for reproducibility.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Zhejiang University (CN)
Digital Humanities and Scholarship
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Signal extraction is not diagnosis: a rule-based trait pipeline on 4,042 Chinese-Wikipedia biographies reveals a steep recall-precision cliff and the necessity of biography-grade evidence for historiometric neurodivergence research — Xin Xu · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS