The present does not reflect the past: geographic mismatches between fossil and modern records are widespread across the tree of life

Abstract The distribution of organisms across Earth provides insight into the origin and maintenance of biodiversity. Abundant fossil evidence suggests taxa have undergone substantial range changes over time. However, biogeographic theory and models often tend to assume that clades originated in the regions where we observe them today. Understanding the prevalence of geographically dynamic clades across the tree of life provides a way to evaluate these assumptions, thereby refining key evolutionary hypotheses. We provide a review of such range-shifting clades using a two-pronged approach. First, literature searches uncovered examples across most major multicellular groups (comprising 129 clades with mismatches between fossil and modern ranges). Concurrently, we used the well-sampled mammalian fossil record as a case study, finding that more than half of its terrestrial families (51%) had substantial (>1000 km) geographic mismatches. Geographically dynamic lineages are both common and widespread, but despite their ubiquity, fossil–modern mismatches have only recently been integrated into phylogenetic and biogeographic methods and no comprehensive overview of their advantages and challenges exists. We therefore review the current state of the field and discuss case studies where fossil evidence reshaped prevailing biogeographic theory. Biogeographers must take advantage of these rich fossil histories to better elucidate evolutionary theory across space and time.

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Publication Details

Journal
Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences
Published
2026-10-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2026.1431
Primary Topic
Evolution and Paleontology Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

The present does not reflect the past: geographic mismatches between fossil and modern records are widespread across the tree of life

Benjamin R. Shipley, Erin E. Saupe
Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological Sciences
Evolution and Paleontology Studies
article

The present does not reflect the past: geographic mismatches between fossil and modern records are widespread across the tree of life

Benjamin R. Shipley, Erin E. Saupe
article en

Abstract

Abstract The distribution of organisms across Earth provides insight into the origin and maintenance of biodiversity. Abundant fossil evidence suggests taxa have undergone substantial range changes over time. However, biogeographic theory and models often tend to assume that clades originated in the regions where we observe them today. Understanding the prevalence of geographically dynamic clades across the tree of life provides a way to evaluate these assumptions, thereby refining key evolutionary hypotheses. We provide a review of such range-shifting clades using a two-pronged approach. First, literature searches uncovered examples across most major multicellular groups (comprising 129 clades with mismatches between fossil and modern ranges). Concurrently, we used the well-sampled mammalian fossil record as a case study, finding that more than half of its terrestrial families (51%) had substantial (>1000 km) geographic mismatches. Geographically dynamic lineages are both common and widespread, but despite their ubiquity, fossil–modern mismatches have only recently been integrated into phylogenetic and biogeographic methods and no comprehensive overview of their advantages and challenges exists. We therefore review the current state of the field and discuss case studies where fossil evidence reshaped prevailing biogeographic theory. Biogeographers must take advantage of these rich fossil histories to better elucidate evolutionary theory across space and time.

Proceedings of the Royal Society B Biological SciencesVol. 293(2081)
University of Oxford (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 16%
Evolution and Paleontology Studies
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