Compound marine heatwaves and atmospheric boundary layer jets drive enhanced coastal precipitation

Heavy coastal precipitation is traditionally attributed to atmospheric dynamics, but the influence of co-occurring oceanic thermal extremes remains largely unexplored. Using satellite observations and reanalysis data from 1998 to 2023 over the South China Sea (SCS), we investigate the synergistic impacts of marine heatwaves (MHWs) and atmospheric boundary layer jets (BLJs). We reveal a compound effect: when MHWs and BLJs co-occur, regional coastal precipitation increases by 51.9% relative to climatology, more than doubling the 21.0% increase during pure BLJ events. Moist static energy (MSE) diagnostics demonstrate that MHWs act as a thermodynamic catalyst, enhancing surface evaporation by 20%-30% and boosting low-level atmospheric latent energy. The concurrent BLJ functions as a dynamic conveyor, rapidly transporting this excess moisture landward to fuel heavy coastal rainfall. These results imply that assessing coastal precipitation from atmospheric dynamics alone may largely underestimate the rainfall response when marine heatwaves are present, a coupling set to strengthen as the ocean warms.

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Publication Details

Journal
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Published
2026-10-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-026-01571-w
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Compound marine heatwaves and atmospheric boundary layer jets drive enhanced coastal precipitation

Lixin Qu, Hu Zhendong, Lei Peng, Xinyi Cao et al.
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Climate variability and models
article

Compound marine heatwaves and atmospheric boundary layer jets drive enhanced coastal precipitation

Lixin Qu, Hu Zhendong, Lei Peng, Xinyi Cao, Jiabao Guo, Xinyi Wang, Yu Du, Lei Zhou
article en

Abstract

Heavy coastal precipitation is traditionally attributed to atmospheric dynamics, but the influence of co-occurring oceanic thermal extremes remains largely unexplored. Using satellite observations and reanalysis data from 1998 to 2023 over the South China Sea (SCS), we investigate the synergistic impacts of marine heatwaves (MHWs) and atmospheric boundary layer jets (BLJs). We reveal a compound effect: when MHWs and BLJs co-occur, regional coastal precipitation increases by 51.9% relative to climatology, more than doubling the 21.0% increase during pure BLJ events. Moist static energy (MSE) diagnostics demonstrate that MHWs act as a thermodynamic catalyst, enhancing surface evaporation by 20%-30% and boosting low-level atmospheric latent energy. The concurrent BLJ functions as a dynamic conveyor, rapidly transporting this excess moisture landward to fuel heavy coastal rainfall. These results imply that assessing coastal precipitation from atmospheric dynamics alone may largely underestimate the rainfall response when marine heatwaves are present, a coupling set to strengthen as the ocean warms.

npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Sun Yat-sen University (CN), Shanghai Jiao Tong University (CN), Chengdu University of Information Technology (CN), Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai) (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 16%
Climate variability and models
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Compound marine heatwaves and atmospheric boundary layer jets drive enhanced coastal precipitation — Lixin Qu, Hu Zhendong, et al. · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS