State of charge aligned dual branch learning for reliable cross vehicle state of health prediction from fragmented charging data

Real-world electric vehicle fleet data consist of fragmented charging records with irregular sampling, heterogeneous operating conditions, and pack-level inconsistency. For battery state of health (SOH) prediction, these characteristics introduce time-coordinate mismatch and non-degradation-related variations, thereby reducing model transferability to unseen vehicles. To address this problem, this study proposes an end-to-end deep learning framework for SOH point and interval prediction. The framework reparameterizes charging data from the time domain to the state of charge (SOC) domain and constructs mask-aware SOC-aligned token sequences, improving comparability among charging segments with different durations, sampling frequencies, and SOC ranges. A dual-branch architecture learns complementary degradation representations. The temporal branch captures multi-scale SOC-dependent response variations and trajectory-level degradation patterns, whereas the inconsistency-aware branch incorporates pack-level voltage and temperature dispersion as complementary degradation cues. For uncertainty-aware prediction, quantile regression with a structural monotonicity constraint generates ordered prediction intervals, and conformalized quantile regression is applied as a post-hoc calibration step when empirical coverage correction is required. Experiments on two electric vehicle fleet datasets show that the proposed method achieves the best performance across four point-prediction metrics. Root mean square errors are 0.960 ± 0.025% on Dataset A and 1.981 ± 0.095% on Dataset B. On Dataset B, independent conformal calibration yields a prediction interval coverage probability of 0.8679 ± 0.0487 and a Winkler score of 8.9384 ± 0.5322. These results indicate improved interval reliability under stronger distribution shift and demonstrate the potential of the framework for uncertainty-aware fleet battery health assessment.

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Publication Details

Journal
Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence
Published
2026-10-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.engappai.2026.116573
Primary Topic
Advanced Battery Technologies Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

State of charge aligned dual branch learning for reliable cross vehicle state of health prediction from fragmented charging data

Yiting Li, Jiakang Li, Haisong Huang, Qianyong Xu et al.
Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence
Advanced Battery Technologies Research
article

State of charge aligned dual branch learning for reliable cross vehicle state of health prediction from fragmented charging data

Yiting Li, Jiakang Li, Haisong Huang, Qianyong Xu, Da Yang
article en

Abstract

Real-world electric vehicle fleet data consist of fragmented charging records with irregular sampling, heterogeneous operating conditions, and pack-level inconsistency. For battery state of health (SOH) prediction, these characteristics introduce time-coordinate mismatch and non-degradation-related variations, thereby reducing model transferability to unseen vehicles. To address this problem, this study proposes an end-to-end deep learning framework for SOH point and interval prediction. The framework reparameterizes charging data from the time domain to the state of charge (SOC) domain and constructs mask-aware SOC-aligned token sequences, improving comparability among charging segments with different durations, sampling frequencies, and SOC ranges. A dual-branch architecture learns complementary degradation representations. The temporal branch captures multi-scale SOC-dependent response variations and trajectory-level degradation patterns, whereas the inconsistency-aware branch incorporates pack-level voltage and temperature dispersion as complementary degradation cues. For uncertainty-aware prediction, quantile regression with a structural monotonicity constraint generates ordered prediction intervals, and conformalized quantile regression is applied as a post-hoc calibration step when empirical coverage correction is required. Experiments on two electric vehicle fleet datasets show that the proposed method achieves the best performance across four point-prediction metrics. Root mean square errors are 0.960 ± 0.025% on Dataset A and 1.981 ± 0.095% on Dataset B. On Dataset B, independent conformal calibration yields a prediction interval coverage probability of 0.8679 ± 0.0487 and a Winkler score of 8.9384 ± 0.5322. These results indicate improved interval reliability under stronger distribution shift and demonstrate the potential of the framework for uncertainty-aware fleet battery health assessment.

Engineering Applications of Artificial IntelligenceVol. 186
Guizhou University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Guizhou Science and Technology Department, Department of Education of Guizhou Province
Affordable and clean energy, Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 22%
Advanced Battery Technologies Research
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