Microcontrôland — Study 02: Dynamics and stability of regimes. Preregistration / Étude 02 : dynamique et stabilité des régimes. Pré-enregistrement

Preregistration of Study 02 of the Microcontrôland project, a fictionalcountry simulated by 7 ESP32-S3 boards (1 gateway, 6 regions, 120 smallHinton-type neural networks). Question: which observable states of thecountry precede a change of power (revolution, palace coup, electoraldefeat, vacancy)? Data split: exploration from 9 October 2026 to 8 January 2027 (era 1);test from 9 January 2027 (at least 3 months) on data never looked atwhile building the hypotheses. Hypotheses and their success indicatorswill be added, in a dated file, as a new version of this record before9 January 2027. Results will be published whatever they are. Filed in the project's Git repository on 13 October 2026 (commit4ad17e1); archived on Zenodo on [16 October 2026]. The Zenodo date is theindependently verifiable one. No analysis of the test period has beendone. Known limits: a single real country, citizens are not independentexperiments; political rules are written in the code, and a regularitythat follows directly from a rule is not a discovery. Host-computersimulations serve as reference. SHA-256:02-regimes-preenregistrement.md 8ac3a4c45256628f3339cf40e39d661a02bd0dde5aa2c4a0a99ea753cd83d60602-regimes-preregistration.en.md ba48a0d586a6b3db3fe15a81ed166810d786b1ee4c84f2851b869fc0ff8366f4

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23418065
Primary Topic
Political Conflict and Governance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Microcontrôland — Study 02: Dynamics and stability of regimes. Preregistration / Étude 02 : dynamique et stabilité des régimes. Pré-enregistrement

Bran Briere
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Political Conflict and Governance
article

Microcontrôland — Study 02: Dynamics and stability of regimes. Preregistration / Étude 02 : dynamique et stabilité des régimes. Pré-enregistrement

Bran Briere
article en

Abstract

Preregistration of Study 02 of the Microcontrôland project, a fictionalcountry simulated by 7 ESP32-S3 boards (1 gateway, 6 regions, 120 smallHinton-type neural networks). Question: which observable states of thecountry precede a change of power (revolution, palace coup, electoraldefeat, vacancy)? Data split: exploration from 9 October 2026 to 8 January 2027 (era 1);test from 9 January 2027 (at least 3 months) on data never looked atwhile building the hypotheses. Hypotheses and their success indicatorswill be added, in a dated file, as a new version of this record before9 January 2027. Results will be published whatever they are. Filed in the project's Git repository on 13 October 2026 (commit4ad17e1); archived on Zenodo on [16 October 2026]. The Zenodo date is theindependently verifiable one. No analysis of the test period has beendone. Known limits: a single real country, citizens are not independentexperiments; political rules are written in the code, and a regularitythat follows directly from a rule is not a discovery. Host-computersimulations serve as reference. SHA-256:02-regimes-preenregistrement.md 8ac3a4c45256628f3339cf40e39d661a02bd0dde5aa2c4a0a99ea753cd83d60602-regimes-preregistration.en.md ba48a0d586a6b3db3fe15a81ed166810d786b1ee4c84f2851b869fc0ff8366f4

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Political Conflict and Governance
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