LAB #4132 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 32.6% to 33.5% ( — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 32.6% to 33.5% (+0.9pp, n=1466) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying a MANIPULATION-phase filter would have excluded the three wkjudas entries (GBPUSD LONG, USDJPY SHORT, NZDUSD SHORT) from Sept 1, all of which were losses or open, and likely the rizzy5m GBPUSD SHORT from Sept 2 (currently open) if phase aligns. That removes 4 of 10 trades, cutting losses by at least 3, but also removes no wins (all wins are from rizzy5m/7m entries on Aug 26-27, which may fall outside the filter window). Expected win-rate on remaining trades would rise from ~20% (2/10) to ~33% (2/6), but PnL delta is ambiguous—you lose exposure to the open GBPUSD short, which could be a winner. Net effect on this tiny sample is a modest win-rate boost with reduced trade count, not a clear PnL gain. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3-6 months, a +0.9pp win-rate gain (32.6→33.5%) is statistica Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com