MODEL ADOPTION #4092: REJECT — LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 32.6% t — E8 Intelligence Research

DECISION: REJECT ELEMENT: No single rule survives — phase-distance ≤2° is a statistical artifact, not an E8-geometry timing edge. The filter lacks a mechanism tied to the Gods-Clock rhythm; it merely trims low-quality entries without explaining *why* phase tightness predicts success. The +4.9pp gain (n=597) is within noise for a heavily loss-skewed sample (308 losses vs 170 wins), and the 30-day shadow test proposed is too short to separate regime luck from structural edge. EXPECTED IMPACT: If adopted, win rate might rise ~2–3pp in the first month, but absolute PnL likely drops 20–30% due to 30–40% volume reduction — a net loss. Over 6 months, the filter would overfit to the current low-volatility regime and fail when trend strength returns. RISK: The filter removes trades precisely when phase separation is wide — which in E8 logic often signals strong directional momentum. Tightening to ≤2° would blind the model to high-conviction breakouts, causing missed R-multiples and drawdo Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23385284
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
preprint
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
preprint

MODEL ADOPTION #4092: REJECT — LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 32.6% t — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
preprint

MODEL ADOPTION #4092: REJECT — LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 32.6% t — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
preprint en

Abstract

DECISION: REJECT ELEMENT: No single rule survives — phase-distance ≤2° is a statistical artifact, not an E8-geometry timing edge. The filter lacks a mechanism tied to the Gods-Clock rhythm; it merely trims low-quality entries without explaining *why* phase tightness predicts success. The +4.9pp gain (n=597) is within noise for a heavily loss-skewed sample (308 losses vs 170 wins), and the 30-day shadow test proposed is too short to separate regime luck from structural edge. EXPECTED IMPACT: If adopted, win rate might rise ~2–3pp in the first month, but absolute PnL likely drops 20–30% due to 30–40% volume reduction — a net loss. Over 6 months, the filter would overfit to the current low-volatility regime and fail when trend strength returns. RISK: The filter removes trades precisely when phase separation is wide — which in E8 logic often signals strong directional momentum. Tightening to ≤2° would blind the model to high-conviction breakouts, causing missed R-multiples and drawdo Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.