Demographic subgroup-aware analysis of blood pressure predictive models

Blood pressure (BP) is an important cardiovascular health indicator, usually monitored non-invasively with a sphygmomanometer, which can be bulky and inconvenient for real-time monitoring. Blood pressure estimation using photoplethysmography (PPG) waveform analysis offers a promising alternative for intermittent or continuous cuff-less BP monitoring. However, changes in vascularization due to individual physiology and age can directly affect the morphology of the PPG waveform. Thus, prediction accuracy requires a demographic-aware approach. To address these challenges, we trained three conventional ML models for BP prediction and conducted a subgroup-aware analysis to evaluate model performance across individual and intersectional demographic groups. Additionally, we show that signal quality assessment is a pivotal step in the signal-processing pipeline before feature extraction to mitigate external perturbations (e.g., motion artifacts) in the PPG waveform. We achieve a mean absolute error (MAE) of 3.36 mmHg for systolic blood pressure (SBP) and 1.76 mmHg for diastolic BP (DBP) with models trained when signal quality assessment is incorporated.

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Publication Details

Journal
PLOS Digital Health
Published
2026-10-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pdig.0001687
Primary Topic
Non-Invasive Vital Sign Monitoring
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Demographic subgroup-aware analysis of blood pressure predictive models

Blessing Kolawole, Sinuo Fan, Yingjie Lao, Valencia Joyner Koomson
PLOS Digital Health
Non-Invasive Vital Sign Monitoring
article

Demographic subgroup-aware analysis of blood pressure predictive models

Blessing Kolawole, Sinuo Fan, Yingjie Lao, Valencia Joyner Koomson
article en

Abstract

Blood pressure (BP) is an important cardiovascular health indicator, usually monitored non-invasively with a sphygmomanometer, which can be bulky and inconvenient for real-time monitoring. Blood pressure estimation using photoplethysmography (PPG) waveform analysis offers a promising alternative for intermittent or continuous cuff-less BP monitoring. However, changes in vascularization due to individual physiology and age can directly affect the morphology of the PPG waveform. Thus, prediction accuracy requires a demographic-aware approach. To address these challenges, we trained three conventional ML models for BP prediction and conducted a subgroup-aware analysis to evaluate model performance across individual and intersectional demographic groups. Additionally, we show that signal quality assessment is a pivotal step in the signal-processing pipeline before feature extraction to mitigate external perturbations (e.g., motion artifacts) in the PPG waveform. We achieve a mean absolute error (MAE) of 3.36 mmHg for systolic blood pressure (SBP) and 1.76 mmHg for diastolic BP (DBP) with models trained when signal quality assessment is incorporated.

PLOS Digital HealthVol. 5(10)
Tufts University (US)
National Institutes of Health, National Institute of Biomedical Imaging and Bioengineering, Artificial Intelligence/Machine Learning Consortium to Advance Health Equity and Researcher Diversity
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 25%
Non-Invasive Vital Sign Monitoring
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