Optimal Control and Levenberg-Marquardt Backpropagation Neural Network Approaches for Managing Rift Valley Fever Transmission Dynamics

Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a zoonotic vector-borne disease that can cause severe illness in humans, livestock mortality and abortion, and substantial economic losses in livestock production and trade. To manage RVF effectively, interventions should reduce transmission within a cost-conscious control framework. This study develops a deterministic host–vector–environment model to examine the dynamics of RVF transmission among humans, cattle, mosquitoes, and contaminated animal tissues. Cattle vaccination and environmental sanitation are incorporated as time-dependent control measures, and limited treatment capacity is represented by saturated recovery functions. The vaccination-adjusted reproduction number is derived using the next-generation matrix method, and optimal intervention strategies are characterised using Pontryagin's maximum principle. For the parameter set used in this study, the threshold value is R 0 = 2.1077, indicating that transmission can persist under the baseline vaccination assumptions. The resulting optimality system is solved numerically using a forward–backward fourth-order Runge–Kutta scheme. Four intervention scenarios (vaccination alone, environmental sanitation alone, combined control, and no control) are investigated to assess their impact on disease transmission. The numerical simulations show that vaccination primarily suppresses the cattle–mosquito transmission cycle, whereas environmental sanitation reduces the persistence of infectious animal tissues in the environment. The combined intervention produces a greater reduction in infections than either intervention alone. Furthermore, a feed-forward artificial neural network (ANN) trained using the Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm is employed as a supervised surrogate to approximate the model-generated state trajectories and optimal-control profiles obtained from the mechanistic model. The principal contribution of this study is an integrated framework for RVF decision support that combines optimal-control analysis with a neural-network surrogate. The proposed framework may support rapid scenario evaluation and intervention planning and could subsequently be calibrated and validated using epidemiological observations for data-informed applications.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Mechanics in Medicine and Biology
Published
2026-10-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1142/s0219519426500764
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Optimal Control and Levenberg-Marquardt Backpropagation Neural Network Approaches for Managing Rift Valley Fever Transmission Dynamics

Iftikhar Ahmed, Tanvir Akbar, Maida Ayoub
Journal of Mechanics in Medicine and Biology
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
article

Optimal Control and Levenberg-Marquardt Backpropagation Neural Network Approaches for Managing Rift Valley Fever Transmission Dynamics

Iftikhar Ahmed, Tanvir Akbar, Maida Ayoub
article en

Abstract

Rift Valley fever (RVF) is a zoonotic vector-borne disease that can cause severe illness in humans, livestock mortality and abortion, and substantial economic losses in livestock production and trade. To manage RVF effectively, interventions should reduce transmission within a cost-conscious control framework. This study develops a deterministic host–vector–environment model to examine the dynamics of RVF transmission among humans, cattle, mosquitoes, and contaminated animal tissues. Cattle vaccination and environmental sanitation are incorporated as time-dependent control measures, and limited treatment capacity is represented by saturated recovery functions. The vaccination-adjusted reproduction number is derived using the next-generation matrix method, and optimal intervention strategies are characterised using Pontryagin's maximum principle. For the parameter set used in this study, the threshold value is R 0 = 2.1077, indicating that transmission can persist under the baseline vaccination assumptions. The resulting optimality system is solved numerically using a forward–backward fourth-order Runge–Kutta scheme. Four intervention scenarios (vaccination alone, environmental sanitation alone, combined control, and no control) are investigated to assess their impact on disease transmission. The numerical simulations show that vaccination primarily suppresses the cattle–mosquito transmission cycle, whereas environmental sanitation reduces the persistence of infectious animal tissues in the environment. The combined intervention produces a greater reduction in infections than either intervention alone. Furthermore, a feed-forward artificial neural network (ANN) trained using the Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm is employed as a supervised surrogate to approximate the model-generated state trajectories and optimal-control profiles obtained from the mechanistic model. The principal contribution of this study is an integrated framework for RVF decision support that combines optimal-control analysis with a neural-network surrogate. The proposed framework may support rapid scenario evaluation and intervention planning and could subsequently be calibrated and validated using epidemiological observations for data-informed applications.

Journal of Mechanics in Medicine and Biology
Good health and well-being, Zero hunger
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.