Metabolomic aging and mortality clocks based on ensemble learning identify systemic aging risk across the human life span in 18,476 individuals

Aging is characterized by progressive functional decline, yet metabolomic signatures across the human life span remain incompletely defined. Here, we profiled plasma metabolomes from 18,476 participants aged 1 to 96 years across six centers in China using nano-assisted laser desorption/ionization mass spectrometry (LDI-MS) and identified 56 representative age-associated metabolites. In a healthy cohort, we developed a stacking ensemble model to estimate metabolomic age and quantified metabolomic age acceleration (mAA) as each individual's deviation from chronological age. Higher mAA was associated with health deterioration and unfavorable lifestyles. During follow-up from 2019 to 2025, individuals with accelerated mAA showed increased risk of incident chronic diseases, such as fatty liver disease, hypertension, and diabetes, as well as increased all-cause mortality. In a disease cohort, we further developed a mortality-linked metabolomic metric (age deviation) that quantified individualized departures from age-expected mortality risk inferred from plasma metabolites. Age deviation was associated with established composite health measures and increased with multisystem disease involvement and higher multimorbidity burden. Together, these findings support the potential of plasma metabolomic profiling as a scalable, life span-wide approach for deriving clinically interpretable metabolomic aging metrics associated with health status, chronic disease risk, and mortality.

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Publication Details

Journal
Science Translational Medicine
Published
2026-10-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1126/scitranslmed.adz4815
Primary Topic
Metabolomics and Mass Spectrometry Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Metabolomic aging and mortality clocks based on ensemble learning identify systemic aging risk across the human life span in 18,476 individuals

Honghao Huang, Linlin Cao, Yudian Xu, Yifan Chen et al.
Science Translational Medicine
Metabolomics and Mass Spectrometry Studies
article

Metabolomic aging and mortality clocks based on ensemble learning identify systemic aging risk across the human life span in 18,476 individuals

Honghao Huang, Linlin Cao, Yudian Xu, Yifan Chen, Jun Pu, Kun Qian, Wei Lin Xu, Xi Li, Huiru Jiang, Wei Zhang
article en

Abstract

Aging is characterized by progressive functional decline, yet metabolomic signatures across the human life span remain incompletely defined. Here, we profiled plasma metabolomes from 18,476 participants aged 1 to 96 years across six centers in China using nano-assisted laser desorption/ionization mass spectrometry (LDI-MS) and identified 56 representative age-associated metabolites. In a healthy cohort, we developed a stacking ensemble model to estimate metabolomic age and quantified metabolomic age acceleration (mAA) as each individual's deviation from chronological age. Higher mAA was associated with health deterioration and unfavorable lifestyles. During follow-up from 2019 to 2025, individuals with accelerated mAA showed increased risk of incident chronic diseases, such as fatty liver disease, hypertension, and diabetes, as well as increased all-cause mortality. In a disease cohort, we further developed a mortality-linked metabolomic metric (age deviation) that quantified individualized departures from age-expected mortality risk inferred from plasma metabolites. Age deviation was associated with established composite health measures and increased with multisystem disease involvement and higher multimorbidity burden. Together, these findings support the potential of plasma metabolomic profiling as a scalable, life span-wide approach for deriving clinically interpretable metabolomic aging metrics associated with health status, chronic disease risk, and mortality.

Science Translational MedicineVol. 18(871)
Shanghai Jiao Tong University (CN), Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College (CN), Renji Hospital (CN), Shanghai Cancer Institute (CN), Fu Wai Hospital (CN), Ningbo No.6 Hospital (CN)
Shanghai Municipal Health Commission, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Shanghai Municipal Education Commission, Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality, National Key Research and Development Program of China Stem Cell and Translational Research
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
Metabolomics and Mass Spectrometry Studies
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