Sleepless governments under the land dilemma: farmland pressure and overtime work of local governments

Farmland pressure is a central issue in farmland protection and food security, yet its administrative cost to local governments, as reflected in the intensity of government overtime work, remains largely unmeasured. Matching daily night-time light data with the spatial coordinates of local government headquarters, this paper investigates the impact of farmland pressure on government overtime intensity across 300 Chinese prefecture-level cities from 2012 to 2023. Using traditional and Bartik instrumental variables and Double Machine Learning (DML) estimations, we find that rising farmland pressure significantly intensifies government overtime, robust to a series of checks. The effect is muted in large cities and regions with rich cultural endowments or lower fiscal self-sufficiency. Mechanism tests show that farmland pressure drives bureaucratic overwork through increased public service provision, intensified environmental governance mandates, and expanded land allocation quotas. We conclude with policy implications for appraisal reform, governance tools, and civil servants’ well-being.

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Publication Details

Journal
Applied Economics
Published
2026-10-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2026.2746465
Primary Topic
China's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Sleepless governments under the land dilemma: farmland pressure and overtime work of local governments

Yong Jiao, Gaofei Wang
Applied Economics
China's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance
article

Sleepless governments under the land dilemma: farmland pressure and overtime work of local governments

Yong Jiao, Gaofei Wang
article en

Abstract

Farmland pressure is a central issue in farmland protection and food security, yet its administrative cost to local governments, as reflected in the intensity of government overtime work, remains largely unmeasured. Matching daily night-time light data with the spatial coordinates of local government headquarters, this paper investigates the impact of farmland pressure on government overtime intensity across 300 Chinese prefecture-level cities from 2012 to 2023. Using traditional and Bartik instrumental variables and Double Machine Learning (DML) estimations, we find that rising farmland pressure significantly intensifies government overtime, robust to a series of checks. The effect is muted in large cities and regions with rich cultural endowments or lower fiscal self-sufficiency. Mechanism tests show that farmland pressure drives bureaucratic overwork through increased public service provision, intensified environmental governance mandates, and expanded land allocation quotas. We conclude with policy implications for appraisal reform, governance tools, and civil servants’ well-being.

Applied Economics
Nanjing Forestry University (CN), Shandong University of Science and Technology (CN)
National Social Science Fund of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
China's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance
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