Robust Revenue from Correlated Private Values

We study how much revenue a seller can guarantee when bidders know their values but their additional information and equilibrium are unknown. For full-product-support finite priors and everywhere-positive continuous densities, our main result identifies this guarantee with the worst-information revenue potential, approached by finite auctions. With at least two bidders, full extraction is robust exactly when almost every positive-surplus state has a highest-valued bidder at its conditional upper endpoint. This criterion covers ties and arbitrary bounded Borel priors in the specified information class. Files: 45-page main paper and 25-page supplement, Binary Revenue and Withholding. Keywords: Robust mechanism design; correlated private values; adverse information; full surplus extraction; finite auctions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23342581
Primary Topic
Auction Theory and Applications
Type
article
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article

Robust Revenue from Correlated Private Values

Pengbo Wang
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Auction Theory and Applications
article

Robust Revenue from Correlated Private Values

Pengbo Wang
article en

Abstract

We study how much revenue a seller can guarantee when bidders know their values but their additional information and equilibrium are unknown. For full-product-support finite priors and everywhere-positive continuous densities, our main result identifies this guarantee with the worst-information revenue potential, approached by finite auctions. With at least two bidders, full extraction is robust exactly when almost every positive-surplus state has a highest-valued bidder at its conditional upper endpoint. This criterion covers ties and arbitrary bounded Borel priors in the specified information class. Files: 45-page main paper and 25-page supplement, Binary Revenue and Withholding. Keywords: Robust mechanism design; correlated private values; adverse information; full surplus extraction; finite auctions.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Sun Yat-sen University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Auction Theory and Applications
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