Quantifying Temperature‐Driven Surface Ozone Formation: Insights From Field Observations

Abstract Tropospheric ozone (O 3 ) pollution has emerged as an increasingly prominent environmental challenge, especially in the context of global warming. This study quantitatively assessed key factors influencing O 3 formation using field observations in cities spanning from northern to southern China and eastern China (Beijing, Haikou, and Suzhou) combined with an interpretable XGBoost‐SHAP model. Model performance was validated across space and time. Temperature explained 33.6% of the total model‐attributed importance for O 3 in Beijing, with effects varying by pollution scenario: highest under co‐pollution (83.3 ± 39.9 μg m −3 , 56%), followed by O 3 pollution (51.9 ± 30.6 μg m −3 , 49%), and PM 2.5 pollution (21.3 ± 11.3 μg m −3 , 25%). A 1°C rise increased O 3 by 6.1 ± 3.0 μg m −3 in Beijing, with lower sensitivities observed in Suzhou and Haikou, consistent with their distinct precursor availability and chemical regimes. During heatwaves (≥35°C), O 3 concentrations were 2.3 times higher than at normal temperatures (≤30°C). These results provide scenario‐specific, quantitative insights into temperature‐driven O 3 formation across contrasting pollution regimes and climatic zones, with implications for climate‐informed air quality management strategies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
Published
2026-10-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2026jd046864
Primary Topic
Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Quantifying Temperature‐Driven Surface Ozone Formation: Insights From Field Observations

Biwu Chu, Joseph S. Francisco, Tianzeng Chen, Yonghong Wang et al.
Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres
Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
article

Quantifying Temperature‐Driven Surface Ozone Formation: Insights From Field Observations

Biwu Chu, Joseph S. Francisco, Tianzeng Chen, Yonghong Wang, Qingxin Ma, Rongfu Xie, Ruiyu Li, Jun Liu, Jianhuai Ye, Yuzhen Fu, Yang Yue, Hong He, Peng Zhang, Xiaochen Wu, Hao Li
article en

Abstract

Abstract Tropospheric ozone (O 3 ) pollution has emerged as an increasingly prominent environmental challenge, especially in the context of global warming. This study quantitatively assessed key factors influencing O 3 formation using field observations in cities spanning from northern to southern China and eastern China (Beijing, Haikou, and Suzhou) combined with an interpretable XGBoost‐SHAP model. Model performance was validated across space and time. Temperature explained 33.6% of the total model‐attributed importance for O 3 in Beijing, with effects varying by pollution scenario: highest under co‐pollution (83.3 ± 39.9 μg m −3 , 56%), followed by O 3 pollution (51.9 ± 30.6 μg m −3 , 49%), and PM 2.5 pollution (21.3 ± 11.3 μg m −3 , 25%). A 1°C rise increased O 3 by 6.1 ± 3.0 μg m −3 in Beijing, with lower sensitivities observed in Suzhou and Haikou, consistent with their distinct precursor availability and chemical regimes. During heatwaves (≥35°C), O 3 concentrations were 2.3 times higher than at normal temperatures (≤30°C). These results provide scenario‐specific, quantitative insights into temperature‐driven O 3 formation across contrasting pollution regimes and climatic zones, with implications for climate‐informed air quality management strategies.

Journal of Geophysical Research AtmospheresVol. 131(20)
Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), Fudan University (CN), Southern University of Science and Technology (CN), Institute of Urban Environment (CN), State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control (CN), Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences (CN), University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN), University of Pennsylvania (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 20%
Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols
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