Ocean circulation changes rather than global warming drove temperature trends across the Miocene Climatic Optimum

Early-to-Middle Miocene [23 to 13.8 million years ago (Ma)] climates were ∼6° to 9°C warmer than today. Around 16.9 Ma, benthic foraminiferal oxygen isotope (δ 18 O) records suggest pronounced warming, known as the Miocene Climatic Optimum (MCO) onset. However, explaining this putative global warming with carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) forcing faces challenges in terms of timing and forcing magnitude. Our new biomarker-based ocean temperature records, combined with published data, reveal no substantial mean global upper ocean warming across the MCO. Instead, temperature changes differ considerably between sites, with some regions showing cooling. Climate model sensitivity tests indicate that these patterns are best explained by ocean circulation changes, likely due to gateway changes and Antarctic ice sheet variations. This suggests that the MCO signature is better attributed to ocean circulation changes rather than a CO 2 -driven global warming event. The δ 18 O signal therefore represents warmer deepwater sourcing and/or reduced Antarctic glacial volume, resolving the longstanding challenge of explaining MCO warming without a pronounced CO 2 rise.

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Publication Details

Journal
Science Advances
Published
2026-10-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adz2555
Primary Topic
Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Ocean circulation changes rather than global warming drove temperature trends across the Miocene Climatic Optimum

Tjerk J. T. Veenstra, Francesca Sangiorgi, R. Paul Acosta, Evi Wubben et al.
Science Advances
Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
article

Ocean circulation changes rather than global warming drove temperature trends across the Miocene Climatic Optimum

Tjerk J. T. Veenstra, Francesca Sangiorgi, R. Paul Acosta, Evi Wubben, Appy Sluijs, Matthew S. Huber, Joyce den Hollander, Francien Peterse, Xiaoqing Liu, Chris Overduin
article en

Abstract

Early-to-Middle Miocene [23 to 13.8 million years ago (Ma)] climates were ∼6° to 9°C warmer than today. Around 16.9 Ma, benthic foraminiferal oxygen isotope (δ 18 O) records suggest pronounced warming, known as the Miocene Climatic Optimum (MCO) onset. However, explaining this putative global warming with carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) forcing faces challenges in terms of timing and forcing magnitude. Our new biomarker-based ocean temperature records, combined with published data, reveal no substantial mean global upper ocean warming across the MCO. Instead, temperature changes differ considerably between sites, with some regions showing cooling. Climate model sensitivity tests indicate that these patterns are best explained by ocean circulation changes, likely due to gateway changes and Antarctic ice sheet variations. This suggests that the MCO signature is better attributed to ocean circulation changes rather than a CO 2 -driven global warming event. The δ 18 O signal therefore represents warmer deepwater sourcing and/or reduced Antarctic glacial volume, resolving the longstanding challenge of explaining MCO warming without a pronounced CO 2 rise.

Science AdvancesVol. 12(41)
George Mason University (US), Utrecht University (NL), Purdue University West Lafayette (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 19%
Geology and Paleoclimatology Research
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Ocean circulation changes rather than global warming drove temperature trends across the Miocene Climatic Optimum — Tjerk J. T. Veenstra, Francesca Sangiorgi, et al. · Science Advances (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS