PredKlebAMR: A machine learning framework prioritizing sensitivity in Klebsiella pneumoniae resistance profiling

The global increase in carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP) has undoubtedly changed the management of infectious diseases. Meropenem resistance in K. pneumoniae is a response to bacterial strategies, these includes production of carbapenemases (KPC, NDM, OXA-48), a reduction in membrane permeability through mutation of porin (OmpK35/36), and genomic plasticity via gene amplification and/or plasmid exchange. This study developed a machine learning model that targets “Very Major Errors” (VMEs) and predicts antimicrobial resistance (AMR) for prognosis. Genomic datasets (6000) were retrieved from the Bacterial and Viral Bioinformatics Resource Center (BV-BRC) database and preprocessed. Gene-based feature engineering was performed using Kleborate, and a Random Forest model was trained and deployed via an interactive R Shiny web application. Internal validation of the tool PredKlebAMR was done using a stratified 80/20 split of the training dataset, and a 5-fold cross-validation was implemented to optimize the Random Forest hyperparameters. While benchmarking against ResFinder 4.1 and AMRFinderPlus 4.2.7 was done using an independent external cohort consisting of three-tiered datasets from the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI) database. PredKlebAMR , trained using 5,942 K. pneumoniae genomes (38 Kleborate-derived predictors), achieved a strong performance on a held-out global test set (accuracy 91.92%, sensitivity 94.67%, specificity 89.47%; Kappa 0.839), with key predictors including fluoroquinolone mutations, high-risk sequence types, KPC-2/KPC-3, and OmpK35/36 porin changes. When benchmarked against AMRFinderPlus 4.2.7 and ResFinder 4.1, PredKlebAMR delivered a higher sensitivity and fewer VMEs in the global cohort (95.45% vs 90.91% | 86.36% sensitivity; VMEs 1 vs 2 | 3), the African cohort (95.56% vs 91.11% | 82.2% sensitivity; VMEs 2 vs 4 | 8), and the Thailand cohort (95.62% vs 92.5% | 63.12% sensitivity; VMEs 7 vs 12 | 59) with statistically significant sensitivity improvement in Africa (McNemar’s p = 0.041). PredKlebAMR, with its high sensitivity to VMEs, and via an interactive dashboard ( https://igmr.org/software/predklebamr ) that translates predictions into biological rationale, will support clinicians in making life-changing decisions while managing patients.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2026-10-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-74806-8
Primary Topic
Antibiotic Resistance in Bacteria
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

PredKlebAMR: A machine learning framework prioritizing sensitivity in Klebsiella pneumoniae resistance profiling

Serge Sougué, James Mordecai, Olaitan Igbagbo Awe, Kweku Foh Gyasi et al.
Scientific Reports
Antibiotic Resistance in Bacteria
article

PredKlebAMR: A machine learning framework prioritizing sensitivity in Klebsiella pneumoniae resistance profiling

Serge Sougué, James Mordecai, Olaitan Igbagbo Awe, Kweku Foh Gyasi, Abiola A. Babajide, Jamilu Garba
article en

Abstract

The global increase in carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP) has undoubtedly changed the management of infectious diseases. Meropenem resistance in K. pneumoniae is a response to bacterial strategies, these includes production of carbapenemases (KPC, NDM, OXA-48), a reduction in membrane permeability through mutation of porin (OmpK35/36), and genomic plasticity via gene amplification and/or plasmid exchange. This study developed a machine learning model that targets “Very Major Errors” (VMEs) and predicts antimicrobial resistance (AMR) for prognosis. Genomic datasets (6000) were retrieved from the Bacterial and Viral Bioinformatics Resource Center (BV-BRC) database and preprocessed. Gene-based feature engineering was performed using Kleborate, and a Random Forest model was trained and deployed via an interactive R Shiny web application. Internal validation of the tool PredKlebAMR was done using a stratified 80/20 split of the training dataset, and a 5-fold cross-validation was implemented to optimize the Random Forest hyperparameters. While benchmarking against ResFinder 4.1 and AMRFinderPlus 4.2.7 was done using an independent external cohort consisting of three-tiered datasets from the National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI) database. PredKlebAMR , trained using 5,942 K. pneumoniae genomes (38 Kleborate-derived predictors), achieved a strong performance on a held-out global test set (accuracy 91.92%, sensitivity 94.67%, specificity 89.47%; Kappa 0.839), with key predictors including fluoroquinolone mutations, high-risk sequence types, KPC-2/KPC-3, and OmpK35/36 porin changes. When benchmarked against AMRFinderPlus 4.2.7 and ResFinder 4.1, PredKlebAMR delivered a higher sensitivity and fewer VMEs in the global cohort (95.45% vs 90.91% | 86.36% sensitivity; VMEs 1 vs 2 | 3), the African cohort (95.56% vs 91.11% | 82.2% sensitivity; VMEs 2 vs 4 | 8), and the Thailand cohort (95.62% vs 92.5% | 63.12% sensitivity; VMEs 7 vs 12 | 59) with statistically significant sensitivity improvement in Africa (McNemar’s p = 0.041). PredKlebAMR, with its high sensitivity to VMEs, and via an interactive dashboard ( https://igmr.org/software/predklebamr ) that translates predictions into biological rationale, will support clinicians in making life-changing decisions while managing patients.

Scientific Reports
Université Joseph Ki-Zerbo (BF), King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals (SA), Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology (GH), Genomas (United States) (US), Usmanu Danfodiyo University (NG), University of the Western Cape (ZA)
National Institutes of Health
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 22%
Antibiotic Resistance in Bacteria
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