More than regulation: How policy mixes shape innovation ecosystems in digital transformation

The era of digital transformation drives the continuous restructuring of innovation ecosystems, challenging regulators to move beyond conventional regulations to address market and system failures. Although policy mixes are essential to address these challenges and promote innovation ecosystems, the efficacy of specific policy mix characteristics remains underexplored. This study develops a conceptual model to explore the mechanisms through which policy mix characteristics affect firm innovation in the digital transformation era. Specifically, we conceptualize policy mix coordination across three dimensions: temporal (policy stability over time), horizontal (policy similarity across regions), and vertical (policy coherence and complementarity between central and local governments). Firm innovation is examined through firms' technological and business positions within the innovation ecosystem. We conduct an empirical study of Chinese listed companies (2001-2021), employing machine learning techniques to identify policy themes, multi-source heterogeneous network analysis to measure firm innovation, and panel regression to test hypotheses. Results show that temporal and horizontal coordination stimulate firms' technological positions but inhibit business positions, whereas vertical coordination significantly enhances firms' technological positions within innovation ecosystems. These findings contribute to policy mix theory by incorporating a thematic lens and offer insights into recasting regulators' role as strategic coordinators in cultivating innovation ecosystems during digital transformation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Published
2026-10-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2026.124912
Primary Topic
Digital Economy and Transformation
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

More than regulation: How policy mixes shape innovation ecosystems in digital transformation

Guannan Xu, Xiangwan Zhou, Ning Kang
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
Digital Economy and Transformation
article

More than regulation: How policy mixes shape innovation ecosystems in digital transformation

Guannan Xu, Xiangwan Zhou, Ning Kang
article en

Abstract

The era of digital transformation drives the continuous restructuring of innovation ecosystems, challenging regulators to move beyond conventional regulations to address market and system failures. Although policy mixes are essential to address these challenges and promote innovation ecosystems, the efficacy of specific policy mix characteristics remains underexplored. This study develops a conceptual model to explore the mechanisms through which policy mix characteristics affect firm innovation in the digital transformation era. Specifically, we conceptualize policy mix coordination across three dimensions: temporal (policy stability over time), horizontal (policy similarity across regions), and vertical (policy coherence and complementarity between central and local governments). Firm innovation is examined through firms' technological and business positions within the innovation ecosystem. We conduct an empirical study of Chinese listed companies (2001-2021), employing machine learning techniques to identify policy themes, multi-source heterogeneous network analysis to measure firm innovation, and panel regression to test hypotheses. Results show that temporal and horizontal coordination stimulate firms' technological positions but inhibit business positions, whereas vertical coordination significantly enhances firms' technological positions within innovation ecosystems. These findings contribute to policy mix theory by incorporating a thematic lens and offer insights into recasting regulators' role as strategic coordinators in cultivating innovation ecosystems during digital transformation.

Technological Forecasting and Social ChangeVol. 234
Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications (CN), Tsinghua University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, China Postdoctoral Science Foundation, Natural Science Foundation of Beijing Municipality, Beijing Municipal Social Science Foundation
Industry, innovation and infrastructure
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Digital Economy and Transformation
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More than regulation: How policy mixes shape innovation ecosystems in digital transformation — Guannan Xu, Xiangwan Zhou, et al. · Technological Forecasting and Social Change (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS