LAB #3885 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 32.5% to 33.3% ( — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 32.5% to 33.3% (+0.8pp, n=1443) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the MANIPULATION-phase filter would have excluded the 3 rizzy5m trades (AUDUSD SHORT, NZDUSD SHORT, XAUUSD SHORT) and the 2 rizzy7m trades (EURJPY LONG, USDCHF LONG) that fell in that phase — all 5 are currently losses or open/rejected. That removes 5 losing/uncertain trades from the 10 listed, leaving the 2 wins (GBPUSD SHORT, EURUSD LONG) and 3 others (NZDUSD LONG, USDJPY SHORT, GBPUSD SHORT) intact. Expected win rate in this window jumps from 2/10 (20%) to 2/5 (40%), and PnL improves by avoiding at least 3 confirmed losses (NZDUSD, XAUUSD, EURJPY) plus the rejected AUDUSD. However, the filter also removes the open AUDUSD SHORT which is still undecided — so the realized delta is positive but not as clean as the backtest suggests. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3-6 months, a +0.8pp win-r Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com