Open Interest Is Not a Forecast: It Is a Map of Trapped Positions

Open interest shows where option positions are concentrated. It does not show where the market is going. The useful question is who is trapped, and at what price. AION Analytics research note. Canonical version: https://aionanalytics.in/research/notes/open-interest-map

Authors

Lokesh Gupta (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0000-7501-9230)

Publication Details

Journal: Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published: 2026-10-08
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23226822
Primary Topic: Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type: article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact: 0.00

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article

Open Interest Is Not a Forecast: It Is a Map of Trapped Positions

Lokesh Gupta

Oct 8, 2026

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)

Financial Markets and Investment Strategies

article

Open Interest Is Not a Forecast: It Is a Map of Trapped Positions

Lokesh Gupta

October 8, 2026article en

Abstract

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)

Openalex Percentile: Top 8%

Financial Markets and Investment Strategies

DOI Open Access PDF OpenAlex

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Open Interest Is Not a Forecast: It Is a Map of Trapped Positions — Lokesh Gupta · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS