Demographic “doomsday” misses the mark

A dire prediction published in Science in 1960 anticipated a population singularity in 2026—we are not even close

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Publication Details

Journal
Science
Published
2026-10-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1126/science.ael8752
Primary Topic
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Demographic “doomsday” misses the mark

Javier A. Birchenall
Science
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
article

Demographic “doomsday” misses the mark

Javier A. Birchenall
article en

Abstract

A dire prediction published in Science in 1960 anticipated a population singularity in 2026—we are not even close

ScienceVol. 394(6820)
University of California, Santa Barbara (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
DOISourceOpenAlex
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Demographic “doomsday” misses the mark — Javier A. Birchenall · Science (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS