A nuclear terrorism scenario: improvised nuclear weapons with 60%-enriched uranium

In this work we show that approximately 60–70 kg of 60%-enriched uranium can be used to build a crude nuclear weapon with a kiloton yield. While too large to fit on a missile, such a weapon could be delivered by a shipping container. This analysis is motivated by the June 2025 Israeli and US attacks on Iran, especially the bombings of the nuclear facilities at Natanz, Fordow and Isfahan. The Iranian stockpile of approximately 440 kg of 60%-enriched uranium is, at the time of writing, inaccessible to IAEA inspectors and stored in secret. The rapid clandestine relocation of this material in June 2025 creates an opportunity for proliferators to divert an amount that could be used in the construction of an improvised gun-type nuclear weapon in the style of Little Boy.

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Publication Details

Journal
Global Security Health Science and Policy
Published
2026-10-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/23779497.2026.2741082
Primary Topic
Nuclear Issues and Defense
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

A nuclear terrorism scenario: improvised nuclear weapons with 60%-enriched uranium

Matt Caplan
Global Security Health Science and Policy
Nuclear Issues and Defense
article

A nuclear terrorism scenario: improvised nuclear weapons with 60%-enriched uranium

Matt Caplan
article en

Abstract

In this work we show that approximately 60–70 kg of 60%-enriched uranium can be used to build a crude nuclear weapon with a kiloton yield. While too large to fit on a missile, such a weapon could be delivered by a shipping container. This analysis is motivated by the June 2025 Israeli and US attacks on Iran, especially the bombings of the nuclear facilities at Natanz, Fordow and Isfahan. The Iranian stockpile of approximately 440 kg of 60%-enriched uranium is, at the time of writing, inaccessible to IAEA inspectors and stored in secret. The rapid clandestine relocation of this material in June 2025 creates an opportunity for proliferators to divert an amount that could be used in the construction of an improvised gun-type nuclear weapon in the style of Little Boy.

Global Security Health Science and PolicyVol. 11(1)
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (US), Illinois State University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 3%
Nuclear Issues and Defense
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A nuclear terrorism scenario: improvised nuclear weapons with 60%-enriched uranium — Matt Caplan · Global Security Health Science and Policy (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS