LAB #3817 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 32.5% to 37.6% (+ — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 32.5% to 37.6% (+5.2pp, n=587) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying a phase-distance filter of ≤2° would have excluded the NZDUSD SHORT (rizzy5m, 0.59416) and the XAUUSD SHORT (rizzy5m, 4598.79) — both closed as losses. It would also have excluded the GBPUSD SHORT (rizzy5m, 1.36238) which was a WIN, so the net effect on this small window is roughly neutral: removing 2 losses and 1 win. The AUDUSD SHORT (rizzy5m, 0.71765) is still open/rejected, so its fate is unknown; if it closes as a loss, the filter would have helped here too. Expected PnL delta on this window: approximately +0.5R to +1.0R, but sample is too small to be meaningful. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, a +5.2pp win-rate improvement on n=587 suggests a real but modest edge — likely from avoiding low-conviction entries where phase alignment is weak. However, the filter will also cut t Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com