The Missing Link: When GVC Does Not Matter for Structural Change

ABSTRACT Despite rising levels of Global Value Chains (GVC) integration in several emerging and developing economies, the latter failed to experience a significant structural change. Thus, this paper examines how participating in global supply chains can have implications on labour reallocation in the economy, and to what extent technological advances can alter this effect. To do that, we use the EORA database and calculate structural change variables. Moreover, we control for the endogeneity between these two variables. Our main findings show that overall, global value chains participation has an insignificant effect on structural change. This result holds for different measures of GVC (backward and forward) and of structural change (static and dynamic). Several mechanisms explain the missing link between GVC and structural change, namely their inability to create enough jobs, the increase in capital‐intensive industries, the dominance of natural resources, and the skill‐biased technological change.

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Publication Details

Journal
World Economy
Published
2026-10-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.70168
Primary Topic
Global trade and economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The Missing Link: When GVC Does Not Matter for Structural Change

Chahir R. Zaki, Mazen Fathy
World Economy
Global trade and economics
article

The Missing Link: When GVC Does Not Matter for Structural Change

Chahir R. Zaki, Mazen Fathy
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Despite rising levels of Global Value Chains (GVC) integration in several emerging and developing economies, the latter failed to experience a significant structural change. Thus, this paper examines how participating in global supply chains can have implications on labour reallocation in the economy, and to what extent technological advances can alter this effect. To do that, we use the EORA database and calculate structural change variables. Moreover, we control for the endogeneity between these two variables. Our main findings show that overall, global value chains participation has an insignificant effect on structural change. This result holds for different measures of GVC (backward and forward) and of structural change (static and dynamic). Several mechanisms explain the missing link between GVC and structural change, namely their inability to create enough jobs, the increase in capital‐intensive industries, the dominance of natural resources, and the skill‐biased technological change.

World Economy
Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab (US), Laboratoire d’Économie d’Orléans (FR), Economic Research Forum (EG)
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Global trade and economics
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