Ten New Insights in Climate Science 2026 [preprint]

ABSTRACT Building on an open call for expert input, this annual synthesis presents ten recent research advances with high policy relevance. These include Earth’s increasing energy imbalance and its relationship with ocean heat content (Insight 1); ice-mass loss and related sea-level rise (Insight 2); unprecedented continental drying and hydrological regime change (Insight 3); temporary and irreversible risks resulting from the impending exceedance of 1.5°C (Insight 4); food systems’ mitigation potential (Insight 5); revised estimates of the social cost of carbon (Insight 6); advances in attribution science (Insight 7); implementation and effectiveness of climate clubs (Insight 8); organized climate obstruction (Insight 9); and geopolitics and just energy transitions (Insight 10). The insights presented here underpin a science policy report shared with all party delegations ahead of COP31.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23059603
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
preprint
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preprint

Ten New Insights in Climate Science 2026 [preprint]

Daniel Ospina, Paula Mirazo
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Climate variability and models
preprint

Ten New Insights in Climate Science 2026 [preprint]

Daniel Ospina, Paula Mirazo
preprint en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Building on an open call for expert input, this annual synthesis presents ten recent research advances with high policy relevance. These include Earth’s increasing energy imbalance and its relationship with ocean heat content (Insight 1); ice-mass loss and related sea-level rise (Insight 2); unprecedented continental drying and hydrological regime change (Insight 3); temporary and irreversible risks resulting from the impending exceedance of 1.5°C (Insight 4); food systems’ mitigation potential (Insight 5); revised estimates of the social cost of carbon (Insight 6); advances in attribution science (Insight 7); implementation and effectiveness of climate clubs (Insight 8); organized climate obstruction (Insight 9); and geopolitics and just energy transitions (Insight 10). The insights presented here underpin a science policy report shared with all party delegations ahead of COP31.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Stockholm University (SE), Future Earth (SE), Future Earth (CA), Arizona State University (US)
Climate action
Climate variability and models
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