LAB #2944 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: USDCHF SHORT @ ASIAN with 5 conf — improves win rate from 31.3% to 63.2% — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: USDCHF SHORT @ ASIAN with 5 conf — improves win rate from 31.3% to 63.2% (+31.8pp, n=19) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Over the current live window, the filter would have blocked the USDCHF SHORT (currently open/rejected) and likely the USDCAD SHORT (also Asian-session, 11:20+02:00) — both are CHF/CAD pairs, but the filter is USDCHF-specific. The only direct hit is the USDCHF trade, which is currently open and unconfirmed; if it had been blocked, no PnL change is certain yet. However, the filter would not have touched the 8 other trades (GBPUSD, XAUUSD, AUDUSD, USDJPY), so the observed +31.8pp win-rate improvement from n=19 is not reflected in this 10-trade sample — the effect here is essentially neutral, with a possible small avoidance of an unknown outcome. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, if the filter is real, it would eliminate a specific subset of USDCHF short entries during Asian hours, potential Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com