After Probability: AI Risk, Possible Welfare, and the Allocation of Operational Authority

A conceptual and normative working paper distinguishing AI operational harm, possible AI welfare, and the independent justification of changes in operational authority. Includes conditional propositions, a constructed decision example, effective-control analysis, and a prospective evaluation protocol. No empirical consciousness estimates or experimentally validated governance results are claimed.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-10-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23084412
Primary Topic
Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

After Probability: AI Risk, Possible Welfare, and the Allocation of Operational Authority

Israela Lerer
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
article

After Probability: AI Risk, Possible Welfare, and the Allocation of Operational Authority

Israela Lerer
article en

Abstract

A conceptual and normative working paper distinguishing AI operational harm, possible AI welfare, and the independent justification of changes in operational authority. Includes conditional propositions, a constructed decision example, effective-control analysis, and a prospective evaluation protocol. No empirical consciousness estimates or experimentally validated governance results are claimed.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
DOIOpen Access PDFOpenAlex
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After Probability: AI Risk, Possible Welfare, and the Allocation of Operational Authority — Israela Lerer · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS