Climate Change Induced Seasonal Amplification of the Indian Ocean CO 2 Sink

Abstract This study investigates changes in the mean and seasonal states of oceanic carbon uptake across the Indian Ocean (IO) using an improved, high‐resolution, observationally constrained long‐term (1980–2019) surface ocean data product. The Arabian Sea shows a ∼14% decline in flux amplitude along with reduced mean source strength. In contrast, the Equatorial IO exhibits the largest increase in seasonal amplitude (∼48%), followed by the Southern IO (∼23%), while the Bay of Bengal shows only a modest change (∼7%). Despite these differences, mean source strength decreases in both the Bay of Bengal and Equatorial IO, whereas the Southern IO shows an enhanced carbon sink. Amplitude changes in the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal are driven by shifts in flux sensitivity to wind speed and evolving seasonality of the ocean‐atmosphere gradient, whereas in the Equatorial and Southern regions, they are primarily controlled by the evolving gradient alone.

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Publication Details

Journal
Geophysical Research Letters
Published
2026-09-30
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2026gl123472
Primary Topic
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Climate Change Induced Seasonal Amplification of the Indian Ocean CO 2 Sink

V. V. S. S. Sarma, Zouhair Lachkar, Prasanna Kanti Ghoshal, A.P. Joshi et al.
Geophysical Research Letters
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
article

Climate Change Induced Seasonal Amplification of the Indian Ocean CO 2 Sink

V. V. S. S. Sarma, Zouhair Lachkar, Prasanna Kanti Ghoshal, A.P. Joshi, Kunal Chakraborty, B. Sridevi
article en

Abstract

Abstract This study investigates changes in the mean and seasonal states of oceanic carbon uptake across the Indian Ocean (IO) using an improved, high‐resolution, observationally constrained long‐term (1980–2019) surface ocean data product. The Arabian Sea shows a ∼14% decline in flux amplitude along with reduced mean source strength. In contrast, the Equatorial IO exhibits the largest increase in seasonal amplitude (∼48%), followed by the Southern IO (∼23%), while the Bay of Bengal shows only a modest change (∼7%). Despite these differences, mean source strength decreases in both the Bay of Bengal and Equatorial IO, whereas the Southern IO shows an enhanced carbon sink. Amplitude changes in the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal are driven by shifts in flux sensitivity to wind speed and evolving seasonality of the ocean‐atmosphere gradient, whereas in the Equatorial and Southern regions, they are primarily controlled by the evolving gradient alone.

Geophysical Research LettersVol. 53(19)
New York University Abu Dhabi (AE), Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (IN), Kerala University of Fisheries and Ocean Studies (IN), National Institute of Oceanography (IN)
Life below water
Openalex Percentile: Top 15%
Oceanographic and Atmospheric Processes
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Climate Change Induced Seasonal Amplification of the Indian Ocean CO 2 Sink — V. V. S. S. Sarma, Zouhair Lachkar, et al. · Geophysical Research Letters (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS