Robust Bayesian nonparametric clustering across groups

Bayesian nonparametric mixtures for grouped data often identify clusters with shared mixture components. Small shifts between groups or departures from the component kernel can then fragment a population into several reported clusters. We introduce hierarchical shot-noise Cox process mixtures, which separate these two roles: group-specific local components estimate the densities, while shared latent centres, called rooms, link components into across-group clusters. Components in the same room may have distinct parameters. We derive prior moments, marginal and predictive laws, and a posterior representation supporting conditional Markov chain Monte Carlo inference. For univariate Gaussian mixtures, we establish density-posterior contraction under explicit regularity conditions, with rates comparable up to logarithmic factors to those available for hierarchical Dirichlet process mixtures. Under separate assumptions in a single-group, finite-activity setting, we prove uniform posterior tightness of the occupied-room count for data supported on a compact interval, without assuming a finite-mixture truth. This latter guarantee controls cluster proliferation without asserting recovery of a true partition. Simulations and a galaxy-data analysis illustrate how the construction accommodates variation across groups while retaining shared clusters.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-09-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23036026
Primary Topic
Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
Type
preprint
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preprint

Robust Bayesian nonparametric clustering across groups

Federico Camerlenghi, Mario Beraha, Andrea Teruzzi, Alessandra Guglielmi et al.
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
preprint

Robust Bayesian nonparametric clustering across groups

Federico Camerlenghi, Mario Beraha, Andrea Teruzzi, Alessandra Guglielmi, Alessandro Carminati
preprint en

Abstract

Bayesian nonparametric mixtures for grouped data often identify clusters with shared mixture components. Small shifts between groups or departures from the component kernel can then fragment a population into several reported clusters. We introduce hierarchical shot-noise Cox process mixtures, which separate these two roles: group-specific local components estimate the densities, while shared latent centres, called rooms, link components into across-group clusters. Components in the same room may have distinct parameters. We derive prior moments, marginal and predictive laws, and a posterior representation supporting conditional Markov chain Monte Carlo inference. For univariate Gaussian mixtures, we establish density-posterior contraction under explicit regularity conditions, with rates comparable up to logarithmic factors to those available for hierarchical Dirichlet process mixtures. Under separate assumptions in a single-group, finite-activity setting, we prove uniform posterior tightness of the occupied-room count for data supported on a compact interval, without assuming a finite-mixture truth. This latter guarantee controls cluster proliferation without asserting recovery of a true partition. Simulations and a galaxy-data analysis illustrate how the construction accommodates variation across groups while retaining shared clusters.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
University of Milano-Bicocca (IT), Politecnico di Milano (IT)
Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models
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Robust Bayesian nonparametric clustering across groups — Federico Camerlenghi, Mario Beraha, et al. · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS