Wage Adjustment in Efficient Long-Term Employment Relationships

We present a model in which efficient long-term employment relationships are sustained by wage adjustments prompted by productivity shocks and outside job offers. These wage adjustments occur only sporadically, due to the presence of renegotiation costs. The model is amenable to analytical solution, yielding new insights for several labor market phenomena, including (i) key features of empirical distributions of changes in pay among job stayers, (ii) a near-“memorylessness” property in wage dynamics whereby hiring wages have only limited influence on later wages and allocation decisions, and (iii) a crucial role for recruitment and retention bonuses in sustaining efficient employment relationships. (JEL E24, E31, E32, J31, J64, M51, M52)

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Publication Details

Journal
American Economic Journal Macroeconomics
Published
2026-09-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20230278
Primary Topic
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
Type
article
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article

Wage Adjustment in Efficient Long-Term Employment Relationships

Michael Elsby, Axel Gottfries, Pawel Michal Krolikowski, Gary Solon
American Economic Journal Macroeconomics
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
article

Wage Adjustment in Efficient Long-Term Employment Relationships

Michael Elsby, Axel Gottfries, Pawel Michal Krolikowski, Gary Solon
article en

Abstract

We present a model in which efficient long-term employment relationships are sustained by wage adjustments prompted by productivity shocks and outside job offers. These wage adjustments occur only sporadically, due to the presence of renegotiation costs. The model is amenable to analytical solution, yielding new insights for several labor market phenomena, including (i) key features of empirical distributions of changes in pay among job stayers, (ii) a near-“memorylessness” property in wage dynamics whereby hiring wages have only limited influence on later wages and allocation decisions, and (iii) a crucial role for recruitment and retention bonuses in sustaining efficient employment relationships. (JEL E24, E31, E32, J31, J64, M51, M52)

American Economic Journal MacroeconomicsVol. 18(4)
University of Michigan (US), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland (US), University of Edinburgh (GB)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
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