Uneven attention to climate tipping points
Climate tipping points have moved from theoretical concern to a practical challenge for climate-risk assessment and governance. Yet whether scientific attention is aligned with risk-relevant characteristics of climate tipping elements (CTEs) has not been systematically assessed. Across 20,736 CTE-specific records spanning 2000–2025 and addressing 14 tipping elements, attention was concentrated on the Greenland Ice Sheet and Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, while Boreal Permafrost (abrupt thaw) and the North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre received comparatively limited attention despite their relatively low estimated warming thresholds. Explicit engagement with risk-relevant tipping dynamics, including abrupt transitions, hysteresis, or irreversibility, was also limited. These patterns may influence which tipping risks can be most readily assessed, prioritized, and governed.
Authors
- Heming Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3487-0912)
- Fengmei Ma (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3233-625X)
- Nico Wunderling (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3566-323X)
- Timothy M. Lenton (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6725-7498)
- Asaf Tzachor (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4032-4996)
- B. Chen
Institutions
- Goethe University Frankfurt (DE)
- Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (AU)
- Reichman University (IL)
- Corvinus University of Budapest (HU)
- Chinese Academy of Sciences (CN)
- University of Exeter (GB)
- Senckenberg Research Institute and Natural History Museum Frankfurt/M (DE)
- Leibniz Association (DE)
- Institute of Urban Environment (CN)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2026-09-28
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2618666123
- Primary Topic
- Ecosystem dynamics and resilience
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00