Representation of the ozone quasi-biennial oscillation in JRA-3Q

Abstract This study evaluates how the ozone quasi-biennial oscillation (ozone QBO) is represented in the Japanese Reanalysis of Three Quarters of a Century (JRA-3Q) by comparison with satellite observations and three major reanalyses: the Japanese 55-year Reanalysis (JRA-55), the fifth-generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis (ERA5), and the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2). Satellite observations show that the ozone QBO exhibits a two-component vertical structure, with a transition near 15 hPa separating an upper chemistry-driven regime from a lower dynamics-driven regime with opposite phases. JRA-3Q ozone reproduces this vertical structure and its phase reversal relatively well, including during the pre-satellite era from the 1960s onward, owing to its realistic zonal-wind QBO inherited from JRA-55 wind and the incorporation of a three-dimensional full-chemistry ozone model, albeit in an off-line configuration. However, for 1958–1978, the quadrature component of the cross-wavelet spectrum between zonal wind and ozone QBOs is substantially weakened, consistent with a degraded zonal wind QBO in JRA-3Q. JRA-55 captures the main vertical features during the satellite era but exhibits limited inter-cycle ozone variability. ERA5 and MERRA-2 show good agreement with satellite observations during the recent period (2004 onward), although their representation of the vertical phase reversal becomes less distinct in earlier decades. This study provides a useful benchmark for evaluating the representation of the ozone QBO in reanalyses, based on its two-component vertical structure and the transition layer near 15 hPa, and offers guidance for improving the representation of stratospheric processes in future reanalyses.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Ser II
Published
2026-09-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s44394-026-00036-1
Primary Topic
Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
Type
article
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Representation of the ozone quasi-biennial oscillation in JRA-3Q

Hiroaki Naoe, Kiyotaka Shibata, Shoji Hirahara, Makoto Deushi
Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Ser II
Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
article

Representation of the ozone quasi-biennial oscillation in JRA-3Q

Hiroaki Naoe, Kiyotaka Shibata, Shoji Hirahara, Makoto Deushi
article en

Abstract

Abstract This study evaluates how the ozone quasi-biennial oscillation (ozone QBO) is represented in the Japanese Reanalysis of Three Quarters of a Century (JRA-3Q) by comparison with satellite observations and three major reanalyses: the Japanese 55-year Reanalysis (JRA-55), the fifth-generation European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis (ERA5), and the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2). Satellite observations show that the ozone QBO exhibits a two-component vertical structure, with a transition near 15 hPa separating an upper chemistry-driven regime from a lower dynamics-driven regime with opposite phases. JRA-3Q ozone reproduces this vertical structure and its phase reversal relatively well, including during the pre-satellite era from the 1960s onward, owing to its realistic zonal-wind QBO inherited from JRA-55 wind and the incorporation of a three-dimensional full-chemistry ozone model, albeit in an off-line configuration. However, for 1958–1978, the quadrature component of the cross-wavelet spectrum between zonal wind and ozone QBOs is substantially weakened, consistent with a degraded zonal wind QBO in JRA-3Q. JRA-55 captures the main vertical features during the satellite era but exhibits limited inter-cycle ozone variability. ERA5 and MERRA-2 show good agreement with satellite observations during the recent period (2004 onward), although their representation of the vertical phase reversal becomes less distinct in earlier decades. This study provides a useful benchmark for evaluating the representation of the ozone QBO in reanalyses, based on its two-component vertical structure and the transition layer near 15 hPa, and offers guidance for improving the representation of stratospheric processes in future reanalyses.

Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Ser IIVol. 104(1)
Meteorological Research Institute (JP)
Openalex Percentile: Top 16%
Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
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Representation of the ozone quasi-biennial oscillation in JRA-3Q — Hiroaki Naoe, Kiyotaka Shibata, et al. · Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan Ser II (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS