LAB #2843 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 30.9% to 35.2% (+ — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 30.9% to 35.2% (+4.3pp, n=446) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the phase-distance TIGHT filter (≤2°) would have excluded the two XAUUSD SHORT losses (2026-08-04, 2026-07-31) and the GBPUSD SHORT loss (2026-08-03) if their phase distances exceeded 2°, while retaining the four wins and the one open USDCHF trade. Based on the backtest delta (+4.3pp win rate), the live window would shift from 5W/3L (62.5%) to approximately 5W/1L (83.3%) if all three losses were filtered, yielding a PnL improvement of roughly +2.5R (assuming 1R per trade). However, the USDCHF open trade and the AUDUSD win via rizzy7m may not be affected, so the actual delta is smaller but still positive. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, this filter should raise win rate from ~31% to ~35%, but the trade count will drop significantly (n=446 suggests ~15% of signals removed). The ris Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com