LAB #2808 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 5 — improves win rate from 31.0% to 32.6% (+1.6pp, — E8 Intelligence Research

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 5 — improves win rate from 31.0% to 32.6% (+1.6pp, n=1416) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Over the 10 live trades shown, applying a minimum-5-confirmations filter would have affected only the entries triggered by rizzy5m signals, since rizzy7m and wkjudas already imply higher confirmation counts. The two GBPUSD shorts (1.34407, 1.34461) and the XAUUSD short (4048.74) and long (4270.17) would need to be checked against their actual confirmation counts at entry — but based on the backtest delta (+1.6pp), you'd expect roughly 1–2 of the 4 rizzy5m trades to be filtered out. If the filtered trades were the two losses (XAUUSD short, GBPUSD short on 08-03), win rate in this window would jump from 6/10 to 6/8 (75%), and PnL would improve by avoiding those losses. If a winner got filtered instead, the effect could be neutral or slightly negative — so the immediate impact is uncertain but directional Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2026-09-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23006946
Primary Topic
Intelligence, Security, War Strategy
Type
preprint
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LAB #2808 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 5 — improves win rate from 31.0% to 32.6% (+1.6pp, — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Intelligence, Security, War Strategy
preprint

LAB #2808 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 5 — improves win rate from 31.0% to 32.6% (+1.6pp, — E8 Intelligence Research

Andrew Stewart Caldin
preprint en

Abstract

IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 5 — improves win rate from 31.0% to 32.6% (+1.6pp, n=1416) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Over the 10 live trades shown, applying a minimum-5-confirmations filter would have affected only the entries triggered by rizzy5m signals, since rizzy7m and wkjudas already imply higher confirmation counts. The two GBPUSD shorts (1.34407, 1.34461) and the XAUUSD short (4048.74) and long (4270.17) would need to be checked against their actual confirmation counts at entry — but based on the backtest delta (+1.6pp), you'd expect roughly 1–2 of the 4 rizzy5m trades to be filtered out. If the filtered trades were the two losses (XAUUSD short, GBPUSD short on 08-03), win rate in this window would jump from 6/10 to 6/8 (75%), and PnL would improve by avoiding those losses. If a winner got filtered instead, the effect could be neutral or slightly negative — so the immediate impact is uncertain but directional Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Decent work and economic growth
Intelligence, Security, War Strategy
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LAB #2808 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 5 — improves win rate from 31.0% to 32.6% (+1.6pp, — E8 Intelligence Research — Andrew Stewart Caldin · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS