MODEL ADOPTION #2843: REJECT — LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Phase distance TIGHT (<=2deg) — improves win rate from 30.9% t — E8 Intelligence Research
DECISION: REJECT ELEMENT: No element survives — the phase-distance TIGHT filter (≤2°) is not a concrete, testable edge compatible with E8 geometry timing. The backtest delta (+4.3pp) is derived from a single window (n=446) with no regime-split validation, and the threshold is arbitrary relative to E8's phase-cycle mechanics (which already encode distance via rhythm logic). EXPECTED IMPACT: If adopted, win rate might rise ~3–4pp, but trade count drops ~15%, and the filtered-out trades likely include asymmetric winners (high-volatility breakouts) — net profit factor could fall. The live window projection (+2.5R) is speculative and ignores the open USDCHF and rizzy7m interactions. RISK: Overfitting to a 2° cutoff — phase dispersion varies with news volatility and instrument; the filter would systematically exclude high-momentum entries, degrading the model's ability to capture trend reversals that FADE polarity relies on. Also, the filter is not derived from E8's Gods-Clock timing — Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
Authors
- Andrew Stewart Caldin
Publication Details
- Journal
- Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
- Published
- 2026-09-28
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23007350
- Primary Topic
- Intelligence, Security, War Strategy
- Type
- preprint