The 2026 cold wave brought northern Fennoscandia its coldest 2‐week period since 1987

Abstract During late December 2025 and January 2026, a severe and long‐lasting cold wave affected northern Fennoscandia. In this article, we aim to quantify the extremity of the 2026 cold wave and evaluate the atmospheric conditions that led to the persistent cold anomalies. Analysis of in situ temperature observations and ERA5 reanalysis indicates that the 14‐day period between 31 December and 13 January was the coldest 2‐week period since 1987 over a large area, and regionally since at least 1964. The cold wave was initiated by pronounced cold air advection and intensified through strong surface cooling beneath a persistent high‐pressure system.

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Publication Details

Journal
Weather
Published
2026-09-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.70135
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
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article

The 2026 cold wave brought northern Fennoscandia its coldest 2‐week period since 1987

Mika Rantanen, Daan van den Broek
Weather
Climate variability and models
article

The 2026 cold wave brought northern Fennoscandia its coldest 2‐week period since 1987

Mika Rantanen, Daan van den Broek
article en

Abstract

Abstract During late December 2025 and January 2026, a severe and long‐lasting cold wave affected northern Fennoscandia. In this article, we aim to quantify the extremity of the 2026 cold wave and evaluate the atmospheric conditions that led to the persistent cold anomalies. Analysis of in situ temperature observations and ERA5 reanalysis indicates that the 14‐day period between 31 December and 13 January was the coldest 2‐week period since 1987 over a large area, and regionally since at least 1964. The cold wave was initiated by pronounced cold air advection and intensified through strong surface cooling beneath a persistent high‐pressure system.

Weather
Finnish Meteorological Institute (FI)
Openalex Percentile: Top 14%
Climate variability and models
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