Seasonal divergence in compound heatwave–extreme precipitation events

Compound heatwave – extreme precipitation (CHWEP) events pose escalating risks in monsoon-influenced mid-latitude region across the globe, yet, long-term and seasonally-resolved observational evidence remains limited. Here, we quantify the seasonal and long-term changes, and recent shifts of CHWEP events across South Korea using daily ground observations over four decades (1986–2025). We find that the recent escalation of CHWEP risk is primarily frequency-driven, with a pronounced nationwide emergence starting summer continuing during autumn, while its severity remains comparatively stationary. In detail, the statistically significant increases of CHWEP total days in summer and autumn indicate a seasonal expansion of CHWEP events beyond the traditional summer period in the study region. The CHWEP severity remains comparatively consistent but still exhibiting marginal increase. We also find that the spatial distribution of the CHWEP hotspots differ by characteristics—high frequency concentrates along the western coastal corridor, whereas the highest severities occur in the southeastern inland. This result highlights the contrast between distinct “chronic exposure” versus “acute impact” regimes within the study region. Overall, our findings using the ground observation data well present that the recent CHWEP events have surpassed the historical envelope of variability, therefore underscoring the urgent need for compound-aware risk frameworks in the mid-latitude monsoon regions as global climate change accelerates.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2026-09-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-71636-6
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Seasonal divergence in compound heatwave–extreme precipitation events

Taereem Kim, Sang J. Kim, Yeora Chae, Kyungmin Sung
Scientific Reports
Climate variability and models
article

Seasonal divergence in compound heatwave–extreme precipitation events

Taereem Kim, Sang J. Kim, Yeora Chae, Kyungmin Sung
article en

Abstract

Compound heatwave – extreme precipitation (CHWEP) events pose escalating risks in monsoon-influenced mid-latitude region across the globe, yet, long-term and seasonally-resolved observational evidence remains limited. Here, we quantify the seasonal and long-term changes, and recent shifts of CHWEP events across South Korea using daily ground observations over four decades (1986–2025). We find that the recent escalation of CHWEP risk is primarily frequency-driven, with a pronounced nationwide emergence starting summer continuing during autumn, while its severity remains comparatively stationary. In detail, the statistically significant increases of CHWEP total days in summer and autumn indicate a seasonal expansion of CHWEP events beyond the traditional summer period in the study region. The CHWEP severity remains comparatively consistent but still exhibiting marginal increase. We also find that the spatial distribution of the CHWEP hotspots differ by characteristics—high frequency concentrates along the western coastal corridor, whereas the highest severities occur in the southeastern inland. This result highlights the contrast between distinct “chronic exposure” versus “acute impact” regimes within the study region. Overall, our findings using the ground observation data well present that the recent CHWEP events have surpassed the historical envelope of variability, therefore underscoring the urgent need for compound-aware risk frameworks in the mid-latitude monsoon regions as global climate change accelerates.

Scientific Reports
Princeton University (US), Kyonggi University (KR), Kyung Hee University (KR), Korea Environment Institute (KR), High Meadows Environmental Institute (US)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 14%
Climate variability and models
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