Measuring Monetary Policy Coordination from Central Bankers’ Speeches

Abstract We propose a forward-looking measure of implicit international monetary policy coordination based on a dynamic similarity network of central bankers’ speeches. By analyzing speech transcripts from the Bank for International Settlements database, we show that this measure predicts policy alignment earlier than traditional instrument-based indicators. Our results highlight the central role and orthodox approach of G10 institutions and reveal that coordination rises sharply during global crises. This framework offers policymakers and investors a systematic tool to anticipate international policy trends through text analysis.

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Publication Details

Journal
Computational Economics
Published
2026-09-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-026-11421-9
Primary Topic
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Measuring Monetary Policy Coordination from Central Bankers’ Speeches

Daniel O. Cajueiro, Alexandre Henrique Lucchetti
Computational Economics
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
article

Measuring Monetary Policy Coordination from Central Bankers’ Speeches

Daniel O. Cajueiro, Alexandre Henrique Lucchetti
article en

Abstract

Abstract We propose a forward-looking measure of implicit international monetary policy coordination based on a dynamic similarity network of central bankers’ speeches. By analyzing speech transcripts from the Bank for International Settlements database, we show that this measure predicts policy alignment earlier than traditional instrument-based indicators. Our results highlight the central role and orthodox approach of G10 institutions and reveal that coordination rises sharply during global crises. This framework offers policymakers and investors a systematic tool to anticipate international policy trends through text analysis.

Computational Economics
Universidade de Brasília (BR)
Partnerships for the goals
Openalex Percentile: Top 7%
Global Financial Crisis and Policies
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