Experimentation of learning multinomial logit for travel mode choice: systematic evaluation of prediction, interpretability, and behavioural reliability

Neural-embedded discrete choice models (DCMs) combine behavioural structure with neural-network flexibility, but how neural-component flexibility affects predictive and behavioural performance remains unclear. This study uses the Learning Multinomial Logit (L-MNL) framework to develop three variants with progressively greater neural flexibility and evaluates them alongside multinomial logit (MNL) and deep neural network (DNN) models. A unified framework assesses predictive performance, interpretability, and behavioural reliability across 1,200 controlled experiments on three real-world datasets. Results show that greater neural flexibility can improve best-case predictive performance but also increases sensitivity to experimental settings and performance variability. MNL retains advantages in small-sample settings, whereas DNN performs better on larger datasets but shows weaker behavioural reliability. L-MNL-based models provide an intermediate balance between predictive flexibility and behavioural consistency. These findings support model selection under different data conditions and highlight the need to evaluate both predictive and behavioural dimensions in travel behaviour modelling.

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Publication Details

Journal
Transportmetrica A Transport Science
Published
2026-09-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/23249935.2026.2732086
Primary Topic
Economic and Environmental Valuation
Type
article
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article

Experimentation of learning multinomial logit for travel mode choice: systematic evaluation of prediction, interpretability, and behavioural reliability

Tao Feng, Chuanli Tang, Li Tang
Transportmetrica A Transport Science
Economic and Environmental Valuation
article

Experimentation of learning multinomial logit for travel mode choice: systematic evaluation of prediction, interpretability, and behavioural reliability

Tao Feng, Chuanli Tang, Li Tang
article en

Abstract

Neural-embedded discrete choice models (DCMs) combine behavioural structure with neural-network flexibility, but how neural-component flexibility affects predictive and behavioural performance remains unclear. This study uses the Learning Multinomial Logit (L-MNL) framework to develop three variants with progressively greater neural flexibility and evaluates them alongside multinomial logit (MNL) and deep neural network (DNN) models. A unified framework assesses predictive performance, interpretability, and behavioural reliability across 1,200 controlled experiments on three real-world datasets. Results show that greater neural flexibility can improve best-case predictive performance but also increases sensitivity to experimental settings and performance variability. MNL retains advantages in small-sample settings, whereas DNN performs better on larger datasets but shows weaker behavioural reliability. L-MNL-based models provide an intermediate balance between predictive flexibility and behavioural consistency. These findings support model selection under different data conditions and highlight the need to evaluate both predictive and behavioural dimensions in travel behaviour modelling.

Transportmetrica A Transport Science
Xihua University (CN), Hiroshima University (JP), State Key Laboratory of Vehicle NVH and Safety Technology (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Economic and Environmental Valuation
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Experimentation of learning multinomial logit for travel mode choice: systematic evaluation of prediction, interpretability, and behavioural reliability — Tao Feng, Chuanli Tang, et al. · Transportmetrica A Transport Science (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS